- Lead
- 274
- Total
- 9,721
- vs nation
- R+1.3
Hawaii 41st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 540
- Total
- 10,345
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Lead
- 491
- Total
- 5,720
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Lead
- 997
- Total
- 5,796
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Lead
- 1,175
- Total
- 5,966
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Lead
- 1,338
- Total
- 6,387
- vs nation
- R+18.5
- Lead
- 406
- Total
- 5,322
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Lead
- 76
- Total
- 5,197
- vs nation
- R+7.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 31,5372024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,269 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 13.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $137,9502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 19.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 43, HI · twin score 99.2
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 41st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.1%
2,011 votes · D+38.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.4%
3,538 votes · R+46.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 67.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
5,346votes
51.7% of the vote · D+5.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 4,652 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,926votes
50.7% of the vote · R+2.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,806 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+15.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +13.3 pts
Republican
Gerald Ford1976
+23.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.7 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +23.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Despite Hawaii's heavily Democratic statewide lean, this Oahu district posted an R+2.8 presidential margin in 2024, making it an outlier worth watching in legislative cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.8 points.
A population of 31,537, a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $137,950 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 43 and State House District 40.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Hawaii 41st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.