- Lead
- 5,322
- Total
- 93,581
- vs nation
- D+7.2
Florida 103rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 18,917
- Total
- 101,864
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Lead
- 25,437
- Total
- 86,885
- vs nation
- D+27.2
- Lead
- 22,929
- Total
- 79,102
- vs nation
- D+25.1
- Lead
- 22,085
- Total
- 76,874
- vs nation
- D+21.5
- Lead
- 17,467
- Total
- 73,987
- vs nation
- D+26.1
- Lead
- 18,388
- Total
- 59,966
- vs nation
- D+30.1
- Lead
- 15,747
- Total
- 52,946
- vs nation
- D+21.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 182,6702024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,735 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 66.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $130,8332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 51.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 102, FL · twin score 89.0
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 103rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
64.6%
38,709 votes · D+30.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 64.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
46.8%
43,756 votes · D+5.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 40.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
60,120votes
59.0% of the vote · D+18.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 55,236 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
43,756votes
46.8% of the vote · D+5.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 41,203 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+30.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.7 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +27.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
−7.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+5.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −14.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.7%32,911 | 44.3%26,183 | 59,094 |
With roughly 182,000 residents and a 5-point Republican lean in 2024, District 103 sits in competitive territory by Florida standards, where statewide races have grown increasingly one-sided in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 182,670, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $130,833 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 102 and State House District 44.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 103rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.