- Lead
- 3,889
- Total
- 97,789
- vs nation
- D+5.4
Florida 102nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 16,770
- Total
- 104,647
- vs nation
- D+11.6
- Lead
- 18,676
- Total
- 91,678
- vs nation
- D+18.3
- Lead
- 16,635
- Total
- 83,495
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 15,942
- Total
- 81,099
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Lead
- 11,232
- Total
- 78,476
- vs nation
- D+16.8
- Lead
- 13,752
- Total
- 63,106
- vs nation
- D+21.3
- Lead
- 12,035
- Total
- 55,679
- vs nation
- D+13.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 183,4902024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,655 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 50.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $102,3692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 36.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.8 in 2000MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 93, FL · twin score 91.5
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 102nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
60.1%
37,941 votes · D+21.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 59.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
47.5%
46,438 votes · D+4.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 42.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
60,429votes
57.7% of the vote · D+16.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 54,134 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
46,438votes
47.5% of the vote · D+4.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 43,659 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+21.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.8 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +18.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
−5.4pts R vs U.S.
Place D+4.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −11.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.7%33,059 | 44.3%26,300 | 59,359 |
The 2024 presidential margin was D+4.1, one of the narrower results among Florida's state house districts, compared with D+19.7 in 2008. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with White residents at 37.8%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.8 points in 2000 and a Republican high of 57.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.0 points.
A population of 183,490, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,369 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 93 and State House District 95.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 102nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.