- Lead
- 12,969
- Total
- 85,743
- vs nation
- R+13.7
Florida 78th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,653
- Total
- 90,304
- vs nation
- R+10.7
- Lead
- 6,771
- Total
- 75,133
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Lead
- 2,923
- Total
- 62,111
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Lead
- 787
- Total
- 63,413
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Lead
- 5,021
- Total
- 56,078
- vs nation
- R+6.5
- Lead
- 2,587
- Total
- 42,870
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Lead
- 607
- Total
- 38,859
- vs nation
- R+7.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 183,0002024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,101 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 87.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,4982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.9 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 79, FL · twin score 89.6
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
49.6%
31,476 votes · D+1.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 46.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
57.1%
48,975 votes · R+15.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 53.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,958votes
46.5% of the vote · R+6.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 36,006 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
48,975votes
57.1% of the vote · R+15.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 47,611 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−6.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.2 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −6.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+13.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+15.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +11.1 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+15.1 in 2024 and D+1.2 in 2008, switching sides at least once in between. The district had about 94,800 residents, 66.7% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.9 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 49.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.1 points.
A population of 183,000, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,498 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 79 and State House District 19.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.