- Lead
- 33
- Total
- 14,286
- vs nation
- D+1.2
Connecticut 50th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 563
- Total
- 14,604
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Lead
- 234
- Total
- 13,056
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Lead
- 2,213
- Total
- 12,051
- vs nation
- D+14.5
- Lead
- 2,644
- Total
- 13,121
- vs nation
- D+12.9
- Lead
- 1,511
- Total
- 12,561
- vs nation
- D+14.5
- Lead
- 2,378
- Total
- 11,346
- vs nation
- D+20.4
- Lead
- 2,710
- Total
- 10,986
- vs nation
- D+16.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,1562024 5-year
- Population density
- 127 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 198 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $108,8022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 51, CT · twin score 86.2
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 50th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.0%
6,555 votes · D+50.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.3%
Republican
William McKinley1896
68.9%
1,279 votes · R+41.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 62.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
7,776votes
59.3% of the vote · D+20.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,430 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,046votes
49.3% of the vote · R+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,867 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+27.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+50.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +20.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+35.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +20.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 53.8%6,019 | 46.2%5,170 | 11,189 |
| 2018 | D | 58.4%4,910 | 41.6%3,502 | 8,412 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of just 0.2 points, this 25,000-resident district sits at the sharpest edge of Connecticut's competitive band, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide legislative shifts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 25,156, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $108,802 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 51 and State House District 47.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 50th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09050/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.