Loading…

Akashic

state house district

Arkansas 86th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English14.3%12.3%9.5%

Irish11.0%8.9%9.4%

German10.6%9.2%12.5%

American8.0%7.5%5.3%

French2.1%1.3%1.6%

Scottish2.0%1.8%1.3%

Italian2.0%1.4%4.8%

Dutch0.6%——

Mexican5.0%6.3%11.3%

Honduran0.2%0.2%0.3%

Spaniard0.2%——

Cuban0.2%—0.7%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	AR HD 86	Arkansas	United States
Median age	45.5	38.8	39.1
Age 18–24	7.4%	9.4%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.9%	17.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	AR HD 86	Arkansas	United States
Median household income	$47,782	$60,773	$84,427
Poverty rate	18.5%	16.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.2%	26.0%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	AR HD 86	Arkansas	United States
Owner-occupied homes	79.3%	66.4%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	20.7%	33.6%	34.8%
Median home value	$144,500	$188,000	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$703	$947	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	42.1%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	22.4%	13.5%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	AR HD 86	Arkansas	United States
Mean commute	24.7 min	22.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	9.7%	5.6%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	78.3%	78.9%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.3%	3.2%
Works from home	4.3%	8.8%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	AR HD 86	Arkansas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	6.6%	8.3%	22.3%
Spanish	5.2%	6.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	AR HD 86	Arkansas	United States
Catholic	—	5.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	38.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	42.5%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	AR HD 86	Arkansas	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.3%	5.4%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.8%	1.9%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.5%	3.6%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	8.2%	7.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.458	0.479	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic14.6%1,883TrumpRepublican83.6%10,799OtherAll other candidates1.8%237

R+69.0

Lead: 8,916
Total: 12,919
vs nation: R+67.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic15.6%2,092TrumpRepublican82.0%10,980OtherAll other candidates2.4%325

R+66.3

Lead: 8,888
Total: 13,397
vs nation: R+70.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic16.9%2,092TrumpRepublican81.1%10,068OtherAll other candidates2.0%249

R+64.3

Lead: 7,976
Total: 12,409
vs nation: R+66.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic21.7%2,615RomneyRepublican75.3%9,066OtherAll other candidates3.0%363

R+53.6

Lead: 6,451
Total: 12,044
vs nation: R+57.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic26.2%3,207McCainRepublican70.2%8,603OtherAll other candidates3.7%449

R+44.0

Lead: 5,396
Total: 12,259
vs nation: R+51.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic33.3%4,234BushRepublican65.0%8,264OtherAll other candidates1.8%224

R+31.7

Lead: 4,030
Total: 12,722
vs nation: R+29.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic33.8%3,989BushRepublican62.1%7,344OtherAll other candidates4.1%484

R+28.4

Lead: 3,355
Total: 11,817
vs nation: R+28.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic45.1%4,919DoleRepublican40.2%4,379OtherAll other candidates14.7%1,597

D+5.0

Lead: 540
Total: 10,895
vs nation: R+3.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+69.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 29,9222024 5-year
Population density: 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 2,006 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $47,7822024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 85.3%2024 5-year
Black: 0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+72.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+69.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 127, MO · twin score 98.0

presidential history

Party record book

Arkansas 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

85.3%

2,145 votes · D+71.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 84.4%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

83.6%

10,799 votes · R+69.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 82.0%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Jimmy Carter1976

6,268votes

62.3% of the vote · D+24.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 5,333 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2020

10,980votes

82.0% of the vote · R+66.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 10,799 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+77.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+71.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +54.2 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+70.8pts R vs U.S.

Place R+66.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +67.5 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RJohn MaddoxState House · 86

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	14.0%1,716	86.0%10,578	12,294
2020	R	15.4%1,934	84.6%10,644	12,578

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+69, this rural Arkansas district ranks among the state's most one-sided legislative constituencies, leaving Democrats with little structural foothold in recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 69.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.0 points.

A population of 29,922, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,782 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 127 and State House District 158.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 127

2012–2024 trajectory≠ German ancestry

State House District 158

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 83

2012–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Arkansas 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Arkansas 86th State House District

counties it covers3

Howard County Montgomery County Polk County

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas 86th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Arkansas 86th State House District voted Republican by 69.0 points (R+69.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,919 votes cast, 1,883 went Democratic and 10,799 went Republican.

When did Arkansas 86th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 86th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Arkansas 86th State House District?

Arkansas 86th State House District has a population of 29,922 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arkansas 86th State House District?

Median household income in Arkansas 86th State House District is $47,782 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.

What is the political history of Arkansas 86th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 86th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.