- Lead
- 1,486
- Total
- 15,462
- vs nation
- R+8.1
Arkansas 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,883
- Total
- 15,573
- vs nation
- R+16.5
- Lead
- 2,628
- Total
- 11,837
- vs nation
- R+24.3
- Lead
- 2,730
- Total
- 10,116
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Lead
- 2,213
- Total
- 9,693
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Lead
- 2,154
- Total
- 8,725
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Lead
- 1,252
- Total
- 6,943
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Lead
- 0
- Total
- 6,129
- vs nation
- R+8.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 31,0662024 5-year
- Population density
- 953 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 32.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $113,1252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76.5 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 36, KY · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
88.1%
341 votes · D+76.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 87.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.2%
1,674 votes · R+42.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 70.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
6,731votes
43.5% of the vote · R+9.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 6,603 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
8,486votes
54.5% of the vote · R+12.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 8,217 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+81.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+75.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +64.2 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+30.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.0 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +30.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.4%3,871 | 68.6%8,454 | 12,325 |
| 2020 | R | 32.8%3,836 | 67.2%7,868 | 11,704 |
Arkansas 10th State House District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.5 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 42.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.6 points.
A population of 31,066, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $113,125 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 36 and State House District 67.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.