- Lead
- 9,275
- Total
- 21,693
- vs nation
- R+41.3
Alabama 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,889
- Total
- 21,792
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Lead
- 6,779
- Total
- 18,352
- vs nation
- R+39.0
- Lead
- 5,445
- Total
- 18,257
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Lead
- 5,752
- Total
- 18,463
- vs nation
- R+38.4
- Lead
- 6,017
- Total
- 15,832
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Lead
- 3,745
- Total
- 13,734
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Lead
- 2,187
- Total
- 12,347
- vs nation
- R+26.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 50,1302024 5-year
- Population density
- 144 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 349 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,7762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 26.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93.0 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 136, GA · twin score 82.4
presidential history
Party record book
Alabama 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
96.4%
2,796 votes · D+93.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 96.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
82.5%
8,194 votes · R+66.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 71.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,812votes
31.3% of the vote · R+36.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 6,349 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,373votes
70.9% of the vote · R+42.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,701 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+107.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+82.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +105.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+66.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.8 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +43.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+42.8, District 38 sits well above the state's already conservative baseline, suggesting a constituency where statewide Republican candidates routinely run unopposed or face only nominal competition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.0 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 66.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.8 points.
A population of 50,130, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,776 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 136 and State House District 45.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Alabama 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/01038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.