- Lead
- 4,608
- Total
- 19,533
- vs nation
- R+22.1
South Carolina 45th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,495
- Total
- 19,096
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Lead
- 2,345
- Total
- 15,504
- vs nation
- R+17.2
- Lead
- 1,072
- Total
- 13,713
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Lead
- 778
- Total
- 12,314
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Lead
- 1,582
- Total
- 9,043
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 591
- Total
- 8,888
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Lead
- 951
- Total
- 7,611
- vs nation
- D+4.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,2942024 5-year
- Population density
- 98 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 411 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,5342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100.0 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 53, SC · twin score 89.3
presidential history
Party record book
South Carolina 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
100.0%
611 votes · D+100.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 99.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.9%
3,452 votes · R+48.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,692votes
40.3% of the vote · R+18.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,344 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,952votes
61.2% of the vote · R+23.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,187 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+125.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+100.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +124.4 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+25.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.3 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +22.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+23.6, this district of roughly 40,000 residents leans heavily toward Republican candidates, making it one of the more predictable seats in the South Carolina House delegation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 48.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.6 points.
A population of 40,294, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,534 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 53 and State House District 65.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
South Carolina 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/45045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.