Alabama 15th State House District, Alabama: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+7%. Democratic peak: D+79 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+7MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 52,8152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,4332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 40.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 15, ALOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 12,483 | 10,883 | 23,800 | ||
| D | 13,934 | 11,455 | 25,811 | ||
| D | 11,945 | 11,054 | 23,535 | ||
| D | 12,124 | 11,542 | 23,856 | ||
| D | 12,595 | 12,116 | 24,909 | ||
| R | 10,006 | 12,680 | 22,844 | ||
| R | 9,804 | 10,952 | 21,174 | ||
| R | 9,060 | 10,240 | 20,054 | ||
| R | 9,465 | 11,570 | 22,824 | ||
| R | 8,078 | 11,415 | 19,582 | ||
| R | 8,040 | 12,039 | 20,134 | ||
| R | 8,474 | 10,032 | 19,542 | ||
| R | 7,469 | 8,537 | 16,305 | ||
| R | 4,265 | 10,133 | 14,857 | ||
| O | 4,147 | 2,966 | 15,327 | ||
| R | 0 | 7,543 | 10,389 | ||
| R | 3,330 | 4,485 | 7,929 | ||
| R | 2,893 | 3,275 | 6,556 | ||
| D | 2,856 | 2,418 | 5,304 | ||
| O | 0 | 551 | 2,843 | ||
| D | 2,330 | 562 | 2,905 | ||
| D | 2,786 | 511 | 3,310 | ||
| D | 2,697 | 304 | 3,031 | ||
| D | 2,315 | 359 | 2,735 | ||
| R | 1,263 | 1,373 | 2,645 | ||
| D | 1,147 | 446 | 1,816 | ||
| D | 1,885 | 575 | 2,522 | ||
| D | 809 | 173 | 1,011 | ||
| D | 675 | 54 | 944 | ||
| D | 592 | 180 | 829 | ||
| D | 492 | 91 | 630 | ||
| D | 350 | 231 | 605 | ||
| D | 676 | 267 | 1,004 | ||
| D | 770 | 26 | 1,186 | ||
| D | 432 | 237 | 677 | ||
| D | 182 | 166 | 353 | ||
| D | 148 | 70 | 232 | ||
| D | 177 | 62 | 240 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.7%
American
10.5%
Irish
5.8%
German
4.8%
Scottish
2.1%
Italian
1.9%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$68,433
State House District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 15$68,433
Alabama$63,999
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.0%
Working age (18–64)13.4%
Seniors (65+)13.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.3%
speak English only
Spanish4.7%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 22.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+44.6, this district ranks among the state's most one-sided, suggesting a demographically homogeneous, rural or exurban constituency where statewide Republican candidates face little organized opposition.
The Democratic margin in Alabama 15th State House District has rarely exceeded seventy-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seventy-three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by seven points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 50% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,433 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/01015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 15, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15, Alabama voted Democratic by 6.7 points (D+7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 23,800 votes cast, 12,483 went Democratic and 10,883 went Republican.
What is State House District 15, Alabama's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15, Alabama as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 13 times, and other 2 times.
When did State House District 15, Alabama last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15, Alabama voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State House District 15, Alabama?
State House District 15, Alabama has a population of 52,815 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15, Alabama?
Median household income in State House District 15, Alabama is $68,433 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of State House District 15, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.