Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox HillsThe boundary of Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+45.6).Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills · D+45.6
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic72.1%3,307TrumpRepublican26.5%1,216OtherAll other candidates1.3%61
D+45.6
Lead
2,091
Total
4,584
vs nation
D+47.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic79.5%4,486TrumpRepublican19.1%1,076OtherAll other candidates1.5%84
D+60.4
Lead
3,410
Total
5,646
vs nation
D+55.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic81.8%3,934TrumpRepublican15.1%726OtherAll other candidates3.1%149
D+66.7
Lead
3,208
Total
4,809
vs nation
D+64.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic87.4%3,944RomneyRepublican12.6%571OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+74.7
Lead
3,373
Total
4,515
vs nation
D+70.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic82.1%3,818McCainRepublican16.9%785OtherAll other candidates1.0%46
D+65.2
Lead
3,033
Total
4,649
vs nation
D+58.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic79.5%3,296BushRepublican19.5%808OtherAll other candidates1.0%41
D+60.0
Lead
2,488
Total
4,145
vs nation
D+62.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+45.6MIT Election Lab
Population
19,0272020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
21,882 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.9 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
19.8%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
35.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
38.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+74.7 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
St. George-New Brighton, NY · twin score 88.8

presidential history

Party record book

Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

87.4%

3,944 votes · D+74.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 82.1%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

26.5%

1,216 votes · D+45.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 19.5%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

4,486votes

79.5% of the vote · D+60.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 3,944 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,216votes

26.5% of the vote · D+45.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,076 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+70.9pts D vs U.S.

Place D+74.7 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +64.6 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−47.1pts R vs U.S.

Place D+45.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −55.9 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills voted Democratic by 45.6 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 14.4 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills: Democratic by 45.6 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
19,027 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 45.6 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

St. George-New Brighton
New York
88.8twin score
Similarity 0.89
Old Astoria-Hallets Point
New York
75.2twin score
Similarity 0.75
Pelham Gardens
New York
72.9twin score
Similarity 0.73

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/tompkinsville-stapleton-clifton-fox-hills/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York voted Democratic by 45.6 points (D+45.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,584 votes cast, 3,307 went Democratic and 1,216 went Republican.
How many people live in Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York?
Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York has a population of 19,027 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York?
Median household income in Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Tompkinsville-Stapleton-Clifton-Fox Hills, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.