Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Jamaica, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for JamaicaThe boundary of Jamaica, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+31.4).Jamaica · D+31.4
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic63.9%9,099TrumpRepublican32.5%4,624OtherAll other candidates3.7%524
D+31.4
Lead
4,475
Total
14,247
vs nation
D+32.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic83.6%13,372TrumpRepublican15.7%2,514OtherAll other candidates0.7%105
D+67.9
Lead
10,858
Total
15,991
vs nation
D+63.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic89.1%12,698TrumpRepublican9.5%1,359OtherAll other candidates1.4%195
D+79.6
Lead
11,339
Total
14,252
vs nation
D+77.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic92.7%10,846RomneyRepublican7.3%851OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+85.4
Lead
9,995
Total
11,697
vs nation
D+81.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic89.0%10,150McCainRepublican10.4%1,181OtherAll other candidates0.6%71
D+78.7
Lead
8,969
Total
11,402
vs nation
D+71.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic87.4%9,161BushRepublican11.9%1,253OtherAll other candidates0.7%73
D+75.4
Lead
7,908
Total
10,487
vs nation
D+77.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+31.4MIT Election Lab
Population
60,9932020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
36,310 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1.7 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
6.0%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
18.6%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
34.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+85.4 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
South Ozone Park, NY · twin score 74.0

presidential history

Party record book

Jamaica, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

92.7%

10,846 votes · D+85.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 89.1%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

32.5%

4,624 votes · D+31.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

13,372votes

83.6% of the vote · D+67.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 12,698 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

4,624votes

32.5% of the vote · D+31.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,514 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+81.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+85.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +77.9 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−32.9pts R vs U.S.

Place D+31.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −63.4 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Jamaica, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Jamaica voted Democratic by 31.4 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 44.0 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Jamaica: Democratic by 31.4 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
60,993 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 31.4 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

South Ozone Park
New York
74.0twin score
Similarity 0.74
Queens Village
New York
68.9twin score
Similarity 0.69
Jamaica Hills-Briarwood
New York
68.5twin score
Similarity 0.68

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jamaica, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/jamaica/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Frequently asked questions

How did Jamaica, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jamaica, New York voted Democratic by 31.4 points (D+31.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 14,247 votes cast, 9,099 went Democratic and 4,624 went Republican.
How many people live in Jamaica, New York?
Jamaica, New York has a population of 60,993 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jamaica, New York?
Median household income in Jamaica, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Jamaica, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Jamaica, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.