Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Jamaica Estates-HolliswoodThe boundary of Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+23.1).Jamaica Estates-Holliswood · D+23.1
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic60.0%5,330TrumpRepublican37.0%3,283OtherAll other candidates3.0%267
D+23.1
Lead
2,047
Total
8,880
vs nation
D+24.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic73.4%7,259TrumpRepublican25.7%2,541OtherAll other candidates1.0%94
D+47.7
Lead
4,718
Total
9,894
vs nation
D+43.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic76.4%6,608TrumpRepublican21.2%1,835OtherAll other candidates2.3%202
D+55.2
Lead
4,773
Total
8,645
vs nation
D+53.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic75.9%5,940RomneyRepublican24.1%1,891OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+51.7
Lead
4,049
Total
7,831
vs nation
D+47.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic73.8%6,191McCainRepublican25.5%2,137OtherAll other candidates0.8%64
D+48.3
Lead
4,054
Total
8,392
vs nation
D+41.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic70.4%5,586BushRepublican28.7%2,282OtherAll other candidates0.9%72
D+41.6
Lead
3,304
Total
7,940
vs nation
D+44.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+23.1MIT Election Lab
Population
23,5762020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
16,677 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1.4 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
24.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
24.8%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
14.8%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+55.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Pomonok-Electchester-Hillcrest, NY · twin score 75.6

presidential history

Party record book

Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

76.4%

6,608 votes · D+55.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 75.9%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

37.0%

3,283 votes · D+23.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 28.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

7,259votes

73.4% of the vote · D+47.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 6,608 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

3,283votes

37.0% of the vote · D+23.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,541 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

+53.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+55.2 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +47.8 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−24.5pts R vs U.S.

Place D+23.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −41.0 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Jamaica Estates-Holliswood voted Democratic by 23.1 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 18.6 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Jamaica Estates-Holliswood: Democratic by 23.1 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
23,576 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 23.1 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Pomonok-Electchester-Hillcrest
New York
75.6twin score
Similarity 0.76
Rosebank-Shore Acres-Park Hill
New York
72.1twin score
Similarity 0.72
Bridgeport
Illinois
69.6twin score
Similarity 0.70

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/jamaica-estates-holliswood/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York voted Democratic by 23.1 points (D+23.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 8,880 votes cast, 5,330 went Democratic and 3,283 went Republican.
How many people live in Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York?
Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York has a population of 23,576 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York?
Median household income in Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Jamaica Estates-Holliswood, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.