Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

East Harlem (South), NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for East Harlem (South)The boundary of East Harlem (South), filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+62.9).East Harlem (South) · D+62.9
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic80.5%15,801TrumpRepublican17.6%3,451OtherAll other candidates2.0%387
D+62.9
Lead
12,350
Total
19,639
vs nation
D+64.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic88.0%19,383TrumpRepublican10.8%2,385OtherAll other candidates1.2%255
D+77.2
Lead
16,998
Total
22,023
vs nation
D+72.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic90.8%18,692TrumpRepublican6.5%1,331OtherAll other candidates2.8%571
D+84.3
Lead
17,361
Total
20,594
vs nation
D+82.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic93.2%18,057RomneyRepublican6.8%1,323OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+86.3
Lead
16,734
Total
19,380
vs nation
D+82.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic92.3%19,081McCainRepublican7.3%1,506OtherAll other candidates0.5%94
D+85.0
Lead
17,575
Total
20,681
vs nation
D+77.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic90.1%17,562BushRepublican9.2%1,800OtherAll other candidates0.6%120
D+80.9
Lead
15,762
Total
19,482
vs nation
D+83.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+62.9MIT Election Lab
Population
59,8142020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
100,126 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.6 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
25.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
26.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
42.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+86.3 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Bushwick (East), NY · twin score 84.4

presidential history

Party record book

East Harlem (South), NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

93.2%

18,057 votes · D+86.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 92.3%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

17.6%

3,451 votes · D+62.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10.8%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

19,383votes

88.0% of the vote · D+77.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 19,081 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

3,451votes

17.6% of the vote · D+62.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,385 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+83.4pts D vs U.S.

Place D+80.9 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +82.5 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−64.4pts R vs U.S.

Place D+62.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −72.7 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for East Harlem (South), NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

East Harlem (South) voted Democratic by 62.9 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 18.0 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

East Harlem (South): Democratic by 62.9 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
59,814 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 62.9 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Bushwick (East)
New York
84.4twin score
Similarity 0.84
Hamilton Heights-Sugar Hill
New York
80.2twin score
Similarity 0.80
Bushwick (West)
New York
79.5twin score
Similarity 0.80

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East Harlem (South), New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/east-harlem-south/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did East Harlem (South), New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, East Harlem (South), New York voted Democratic by 62.9 points (D+62.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 19,639 votes cast, 15,801 went Democratic and 3,451 went Republican.
How many people live in East Harlem (South), New York?
East Harlem (South), New York has a population of 59,814 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East Harlem (South), New York?
Median household income in East Harlem (South), New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of East Harlem (South), New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in East Harlem (South), New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.