Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Bowling Green
presidential margin
2008R+26.12012R+27.92016R+37.52020R+33.42024R+39.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+39.5
2024
median income$60,184U.S. $80,734 · KY $63,726
median age36.5U.S. 39.1 · KY 39.2
poverty rate18.2%U.S. 12.5% · KY 16.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)24.9%U.S. 35.6% · KY 27.7%
non-english11.5%U.S. 22.3% · KY 6.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English13.8%
American12.0%
Irish8.8%
African American†6.0%
African0.2%
Mexican2.9%
Guatemalan0.6%
Salvadoran0.4%
Burmese1.5%
Asian Indian0.4%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.4%
Latter-day Saints1.2%
Other Christian0.7%
Black Protestant0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Bowling Green, Kentucky

Akashic
Bowling GreenTrumpR+39.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Bowling Green, KYA map of the constituent counties of Bowling Green, KY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Warren County, KY · R+24.3Edmonson County, KY · R+62.9Barren County, KY · R+52.8Hart County, KY · R+60.0Butler County, KY · R+66.3Metcalfe County, KY · R+64.6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican69.1%70,722
Kamala HarrisDemocratic29.5%30,239
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.4%1,458
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (6 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Bowling Green, KY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Barren County, KYRepublicanR+52.8
Butler County, KYRepublicanR+66.3
Edmonson County, KYRepublicanR+62.9
Hart County, KYRepublicanR+60.0
Metcalfe County, KYRepublicanR+64.6
Warren County, KYRepublicanR+24.3
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
29.5%Harris30,239
69.1%Trump70,722
1.4%Kennedy1,458
−39.5%
102,419
R
32.4%Biden32,795
65.8%Trump66,537
1.8%Jorgensen1,771
−33.4%
101,103
R
28.9%Clinton25,873
66.4%Trump59,530
4.7%Johnson4,243
−37.5%
89,646
R
35.3%Obama28,580
63.2%Romney51,187
1.5%Johnson1,238
−27.9%
81,005
R
36.3%Obama29,950
62.4%McCain51,515
1.3%Nader1,081
−26.1%
82,546
R
34.4%Kerry26,776
64.9%Bush50,540
0.7%Nader535
−30.5%
77,851
R
35.4%Gore23,638
63.1%Bush42,081
1.5%Nader973
−27.7%
66,692
R
39.7%Clinton23,417
52.5%Dole30,986
7.9%Perot4,650
−12.8%
59,053
R
40.2%Clinton24,893
47.7%Bush29,514
12.1%Perot7,524
−7.5%
61,931
R
38.0%Dukakis21,195
61.5%Bush34,295
0.4%Duke250
−23.5%
55,740
R
34.2%Mondale18,548
65.4%Reagan35,420
0.4%Mason218
−31.1%
54,186
R
41.6%Carter22,087
56.0%Reagan29,773
2.4%Anderson1,271
−14.5%
53,131
D
52.5%Carter23,607
46.6%Ford20,944
0.9%Anderson413
+5.9%
44,964
R
32.6%McGovern14,490
65.9%Nixon29,297
1.5%Schmitz669
−33.3%
44,456
R
29.2%Humphrey12,693
49.7%Nixon21,593
21.1%Wallace9,186
−20.5%
43,472
D
59.8%Johnson24,164
39.9%Goldwater16,121
0.3%Hass112
+19.9%
40,397
R
41.9%Kennedy19,153
58.1%Nixon26,557
0.0%
−16.2%
45,710
R
45.1%Stevenson19,864
54.7%Eisenhower24,120
0.2%Andrews94
−9.7%
44,078
R
46.5%Stevenson18,673
53.3%Eisenhower21,395
0.2%Hallinan82
−6.8%
40,150
D
52.3%Truman17,177
45.0%Dewey14,785
2.6%Thurmond859
+7.3%
32,821
R
49.5%Roosevelt18,968
50.4%Dewey19,313
0.2%Thomas75
−0.9%
38,356
D
52.6%Roosevelt20,350
47.2%Willkie18,252
0.2%Thomas87
+5.4%
38,689
D
53.9%Roosevelt20,905
45.8%Landon17,743
0.3%Lemke116
+8.2%
38,764
D
58.1%Roosevelt24,975
41.4%Hoover17,797
0.4%Thomas189
+16.7%
42,961
R
34.9%Smith13,865
65.1%Hoover25,872
0.1%Thomas33
−30.2%
39,770
R
49.4%Davis17,938
49.6%Coolidge18,014
1.1%La Follette383
−0.2%
36,335
R
47.8%Cox19,450
51.5%Harding20,964
0.7%Debs289
−3.7%
40,703
D
50.3%Wilson12,785
48.7%Hughes12,397
1.0%Benson250
+1.5%
25,432
D
47.0%Wilson10,679
25.4%Taft5,785
27.6%Roosevelt6,270
+21.5%
22,734
R
47.8%Bryan11,491
50.4%Taft12,117
1.9%Debs454
−2.6%
24,062
R
48.2%Parker10,915
49.4%Roosevelt11,189
2.4%Debs538
−1.2%
22,642
R
48.8%Bryan11,657
50.1%McKinley11,953
1.1%Woolley261
−1.2%
23,871
D
50.1%Bryan11,583
47.4%McKinley10,969
2.5%Palmer569
+2.7%
23,121
D
45.7%Cleveland8,043
40.6%Harrison7,157
13.7%Weaver2,417
+5.0%
17,617
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −39.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−39.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+5.0%
1896+2.7%
1900−1.2%
1904−1.2%
1908−2.6%
1912+21.5%
1916+1.5%
1920−3.7%
1924−0.2%
1928−30.2%
1932+16.7%
1936+8.2%
1940+5.4%
1944−0.9%
1948+7.3%
1952−6.8%
1956−9.7%
1960−16.2%
1964+19.9%
1968−20.5%
1972−33.3%
1976+5.9%
1980−14.5%
1984−31.1%
1988−23.5%
1992−7.5%
1996−12.8%
2000−27.7%
2004−30.5%
2008−26.1%
2012−27.9%
2016−37.5%
2020−33.4%
2024−39.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time

170,206 registered voters · 2024

Democratic38.4%Republican51.1%Unaffiliated4.9%Other5.5%
Source: Kentucky State Board of Elections

The Bowling Green DMA stretches across a swath of south-central Kentucky where agricultural counties consistently post some of the state's widest partisan margins, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide rural turnout patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 39.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.5 points.

A population of 240,632, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,184 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Joplin-Pittsburg and Springfield, MO.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Joplin-Pittsburg
Kansas
91.2twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Springfield, MO
84.7twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Chattanooga
Tennessee
84.1twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bowling Green, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/736/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Bowling Green

counties6
Barren CountyButler CountyEdmonson CountyHart CountyMetcalfe CountyWarren County

Frequently asked questions

How did Bowling Green, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bowling Green, Kentucky voted Republican by 39.5 points (R+39.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 102,419 votes cast, 30,239 went Democratic and 70,722 went Republican.
When did Bowling Green, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bowling Green, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bowling Green, Kentucky?
Bowling Green, Kentucky has a population of 240,632 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bowling Green, Kentucky?
Median household income in Bowling Green, Kentucky is $60,184 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Bowling Green, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bowling Green, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.