HarrisDemocratic33.0%120,225TrumpRepublican64.5%235,021OtherAll other candidates2.5%9,250
R+31.5- Lead
- 114,796
- Total
- 364,496
- vs nation
- R+30.0
Akashicmedia market
Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
11 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic33.5%119,026TrumpRepublican63.7%226,276OtherAll other candidates2.8%10,052
R+30.2- Lead
- 107,250
- Total
- 355,354
- vs nation
- R+34.6
ClintonDemocratic30.7%92,178TrumpRepublican65.5%196,945OtherAll other candidates3.8%11,432
R+34.9- Lead
- 104,767
- Total
- 300,555
- vs nation
- R+36.9
ObamaDemocratic31.7%87,230RomneyRepublican65.7%181,071OtherAll other candidates2.6%7,156
R+34.1- Lead
- 93,841
- Total
- 275,457
- vs nation
- R+37.9
ObamaDemocratic33.6%91,239McCainRepublican64.4%174,929OtherAll other candidates2.1%5,575
R+30.8- Lead
- 83,690
- Total
- 271,743
- vs nation
- R+38.1
KerryDemocratic37.3%98,132BushRepublican61.7%162,494OtherAll other candidates1.0%2,715
R+24.4- Lead
- 64,362
- Total
- 263,341
- vs nation
- R+22.0
GoreDemocratic38.5%85,232BushRepublican58.5%129,392OtherAll other candidates2.9%6,510
R+20.0- Lead
- 44,160
- Total
- 221,134
- vs nation
- R+20.5
ClintonDemocratic44.4%87,832DoleRepublican44.8%88,618OtherAll other candidates10.9%21,560
R+0.4- Lead
- 786
- Total
- 198,010
- vs nation
- R+8.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 931,1002024 5-year
- Population density
- 105 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8,885 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,2632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tulsa, OK · twin score 92.9
presidential history
Party record book
Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
74.9%
39,820 votes · D+51.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 71.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
74.6%
97,656 votes · R+49.9
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 69.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
120,225votes
33.0% of the vote · R+31.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 119,026 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
235,021votes
64.5% of the vote · R+31.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 226,276 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+49.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.7 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +40.9 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+38.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.8 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +37.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+37.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+31.5
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.7 points more Democratic than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (partial) | 54,803 | 12,316 | 32,679 | 9,390 | 418 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+10,490 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +97,486 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +5,021 |
| 2012 | +2,550 |
| 2013 | +2,818 |
| 2014 | +2,508 |
| 2015 | +5,784 |
| 2016 | +6,268 |
| 2017 | +7,823 |
| 2018 | +5,406 |
| 2019 | +4,776 |
| 2021 | +12,759 |
| 2022 | +12,150 |
| 2023 | +9,781 |
| 2024 | +9,352 |
| 2025 | +10,490 |
The Fort Smith–Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers media market straddles two states along the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, blending a fast-growing Northwest Arkansas corridor—anchored by Walmart's corporate headquarters—with more rural, traditionally conservative constituencies to the south and west.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.5 points.
A population of 931,100, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,263 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tulsa and Oklahoma City.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Tulsa
Oklahoma
92.9twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma
86.4twin score
2008–2016 trajectory12-yr trend≠ elasticity
Sherman-Ada
Oklahoma
82.5twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/670/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers
Frequently asked questions
How did Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas voted Republican by 31.5 points (R+31.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 364,496 votes cast, 120,225 went Democratic and 235,021 went Republican.
When did Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas?
Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas has a population of 931,100 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas?
Median household income in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas is $72,263 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.