Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas
AkashicFort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-RogersTrumpR+31.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 64.5% | 235,021 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 33.0% | 120,225 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other | 2.5% | 9,250 |
D+60R+60
11 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (11 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Benton County, AR | Republican | R+27.0 |
| Crawford County, AR | Republican | R+58.2 |
| Franklin County, AR | Republican | R+62.4 |
| Johnson County, AR | Republican | R+51.4 |
| Le Flore County, OK | Republican | R+64.8 |
| Logan County, AR | Republican | R+62.2 |
| Madison County, AR | Republican | R+58.6 |
| Scott County, AR | Republican | R+73.5 |
| Sebastian County, AR | Republican | R+37.5 |
| Sequoyah County, OK | Republican | R+61.5 |
| Washington County, AR | Republican | R+6.7 |
34 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 33.0%Harris120,225 | 64.5%Trump235,021 | 2.5%Kennedy9,250 | 364,496 | ||
| R | 33.5%Biden119,026 | 63.7%Trump226,276 | 2.8%Jorgensen10,052 | 355,354 | ||
| R | 30.7%Clinton92,178 | 65.5%Trump196,945 | 3.8%Johnson11,432 | 300,555 | ||
| R | 31.7%Obama87,230 | 65.7%Romney181,071 | 2.6%Johnson7,156 | 275,457 | ||
| R | 33.6%Obama91,239 | 64.4%McCain174,929 | 2.1%Nader5,575 | 271,743 | ||
| R | 37.3%Kerry98,132 | 61.7%Bush162,494 | 1.0%Nader2,715 | 263,341 | ||
| R | 38.5%Gore85,232 | 58.5%Bush129,392 | 2.9%Nader6,510 | 221,134 | ||
| R | 44.4%Clinton87,832 | 44.8%Dole88,618 | 10.9%Perot21,560 | 198,010 | ||
| D | 43.2%Clinton90,770 | 42.0%Bush88,291 | 14.8%Perot31,081 | 210,142 | ||
| R | 33.9%Dukakis57,110 | 65.0%Bush109,499 | 1.1%Dodge1,812 | 168,421 | ||
| R | 29.7%Mondale52,979 | 69.2%Reagan123,428 | 1.0%Bergland1,868 | 178,275 | ||
| R | 36.1%Carter62,440 | 58.6%Reagan101,343 | 5.4%Anderson9,297 | 173,080 | ||
| D | 54.2%Carter82,385 | 45.5%Ford69,066 | 0.3%Maddox482 | 151,933 | ||
| R | 24.7%McGovern32,346 | 74.6%Nixon97,656 | 0.7%Schmitz888 | 130,890 | ||
| R | 27.9%Humphrey32,223 | 42.2%Nixon48,760 | 29.8%Wallace34,427 | 115,410 | ||
| D | 55.1%Johnson55,035 | 44.6%Goldwater44,485 | 0.3%Hass283 | 99,803 | ||
| R | 41.8%Kennedy37,369 | 57.0%Nixon50,918 | 1.2%Byrd1,038 | 89,325 | ||
| R | 45.2%Stevenson36,701 | 54.3%Eisenhower44,047 | 0.5%Andrews383 | 81,131 | ||
| R | 45.6%Stevenson38,838 | 54.2%Eisenhower46,188 | 0.2%Hallinan162 | 85,188 | ||
| D | 60.7%Truman33,234 | 34.5%Dewey18,875 | 4.8%Thurmond2,649 | 54,758 | ||
| D | 57.5%Roosevelt30,345 | 42.3%Dewey22,339 | 0.2%Thomas109 | 52,793 | ||
| D | 63.8%Roosevelt34,042 | 35.7%Willkie19,069 | 0.5%Thomas279 | 53,390 | ||
| D | 69.0%Roosevelt33,441 | 30.7%Landon14,892 | 0.3%Lemke137 | 48,470 | ||
| D | 74.9%Roosevelt39,820 | 23.7%Hoover12,625 | 1.4%Thomas737 | 53,182 | ||
| R | 47.7%Smith24,182 | 51.7%Hoover26,196 | 0.5%Thomas277 | 50,655 | ||
| D | 52.7%Davis22,301 | 37.0%Coolidge15,650 | 10.3%La Follette4,378 | 42,329 | ||
| D | 49.9%Cox24,612 | 47.1%Harding23,254 | 2.9%Debs1,454 | 49,320 | ||
| D | 62.8%Wilson23,578 | 34.0%Hughes12,784 | 3.2%Benson1,183 | 37,545 | ||
| D | 55.3%Wilson15,965 | 22.4%Taft6,452 | 22.3%Roosevelt6,451 | 28,868 | ||
| D | 54.7%Bryan20,556 | 39.1%Taft14,710 | 6.2%Debs2,332 | 37,598 | ||
| D | 53.5%Parker11,243 | 40.4%Roosevelt8,491 | 6.2%Debs1,296 | 21,030 | ||
| D | 65.4%Bryan15,630 | 33.2%McKinley7,945 | 1.4%Woolley341 | 23,916 | ||
| D | 71.3%Bryan19,560 | 27.7%McKinley7,587 | 1.0%Palmer272 | 27,419 | ||
| D | 59.0%Cleveland16,475 | 33.7%Harrison9,395 | 7.3%Weaver2,037 | 27,907 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +25.4% |
| 1896 | +43.7% |
| 1900 | +32.1% |
| 1904 | +13.1% |
| 1908 | +15.5% |
| 1912 | +33.0% |
| 1916 | +28.7% |
| 1920 | +2.8% |
| 1924 | +15.7% |
| 1928 | −4.0% |
| 1932 | +51.1% |
| 1936 | +38.3% |
| 1940 | +28.0% |
| 1944 | +15.2% |
| 1948 | +26.2% |
| 1952 | −8.6% |
| 1956 | −9.1% |
| 1960 | −15.2% |
| 1964 | +10.6% |
| 1968 | −14.3% |
| 1972 | −49.9% |
| 1976 | +8.8% |
| 1980 | −22.5% |
| 1984 | −39.5% |
| 1988 | −31.1% |
| 1992 | +1.2% |
| 1996 | −0.4% |
| 2000 | −20.0% |
| 2004 | −24.4% |
| 2008 | −30.8% |
| 2012 | −34.1% |
| 2016 | −34.9% |
| 2020 | −30.2% |
| 2024 | −31.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
The Fort Smith–Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers media market straddles two states along the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, blending a fast-growing Northwest Arkansas corridor—anchored by Walmart's corporate headquarters—with more rural, traditionally conservative constituencies to the south and west.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.5 points.
A population of 931,100, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,263 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tulsa and Oklahoma City.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Tulsa
Oklahoma
92.9twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma
86.4twin score
2008–2016 trajectory12-yr trend≠ elasticity
Sherman-Ada
Oklahoma
82.5twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/670/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas voted Republican by 31.5 points (R+31.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 364,496 votes cast, 120,225 went Democratic and 235,021 went Republican.
When did Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas?
Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas has a population of 931,100 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas?
Median household income in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas is $72,263 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.