Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Wilmington
presidential margin
2008R+7.42012R+10.62016R+15.72020R+13.22024R+15.8
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+15.8
2024
median income$72,105U.S. $80,734 · NC $72,388
median age45.4U.S. 39.1 · NC 39.5
poverty rate12.2%U.S. 12.5% · NC 13.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)36.2%U.S. 35.6% · NC 35.8%
non-english6.9%U.S. 22.3% · NC 13.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English14.5%
Irish12.0%
German10.8%
African American†12.2%
African0.5%
Mexican3.6%
Puerto Rican0.9%
Honduran0.7%
Korean0.2%
Chinese0.1%
Lumbee0.1%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.2%
Black Protestant5.2%
Other Christian1.1%
Latter-day Saints1.0%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Wilmington, North Carolina

Akashic
WilmingtonTrumpR+15.8
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Wilmington, NCA map of the constituent counties of Wilmington, NC, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Columbus County, NC · R+33.9Pender County, NC · R+34.9Bladen County, NC · R+20.4Brunswick County, NC · R+24.8New Hanover County, NC · D+0.6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican57.3%189,276
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.5%137,099
Jill SteinGreen1.2%3,812
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (5 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Wilmington, NC — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Bladen County, NCRepublicanR+20.4
Brunswick County, NCRepublicanR+24.8
Columbus County, NCRepublicanR+33.9
New Hanover County, NCDemocraticD+0.6
Pender County, NCRepublicanR+34.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
41.5%Harris137,099
57.3%Trump189,276
1.2%Stein3,812
−15.8%
330,187
R
42.7%Biden127,943
55.9%Trump167,645
1.4%Jorgensen4,157
−13.2%
299,745
R
40.3%Clinton99,736
55.9%Trump138,525
3.8%Johnson9,509
−15.7%
247,770
R
44.1%Obama99,450
54.7%Romney123,434
1.3%Johnson2,833
−10.6%
225,717
R
45.8%Obama99,312
53.3%McCain115,441
0.9%Barr2,031
−7.4%
216,784
R
43.5%Kerry73,926
56.1%Bush95,260
0.4%Badnarik627
−12.6%
169,813
R
46.7%Gore64,700
52.6%Bush72,910
0.7%Browne1,035
−5.9%
138,645
R
45.9%Clinton52,260
46.4%Dole52,844
7.8%Perot8,868
−0.5%
113,972
D
46.1%Clinton53,462
40.2%Bush46,704
13.7%Perot15,911
+5.8%
116,077
R
45.9%Dukakis41,862
53.9%Bush49,169
0.3%Fulani240
−8.0%
91,271
R
41.6%Mondale37,511
58.1%Reagan52,374
0.2%Bergland191
−16.5%
90,076
D
53.0%Carter41,129
44.3%Reagan34,425
2.7%Anderson2,110
+8.6%
77,664
D
63.8%Carter43,460
35.4%Ford24,116
0.7%Anderson494
+28.4%
68,070
R
26.5%McGovern15,315
71.3%Nixon41,213
2.3%Schmitz1,309
−44.8%
57,837
O
30.4%Humphrey19,661
29.5%Nixon19,058
40.1%Wallace25,959
Wallace +9.7
64,678
D
57.8%Johnson33,549
42.2%Goldwater24,462
0.0%
+15.7%
58,011
D
64.3%Kennedy35,039
35.7%Nixon19,473
0.0%
+28.6%
54,512
D
61.1%Stevenson27,623
38.9%Eisenhower17,620
0.0%
+22.1%
45,243
D
58.7%Stevenson25,757
41.3%Eisenhower18,151
0.0%
+17.3%
43,908
D
58.3%Truman17,092
23.8%Dewey6,967
17.9%Thurmond5,238
+34.6%
29,297
D
74.3%Roosevelt21,804
25.7%Dewey7,550
0.0%
+48.6%
29,354
D
81.9%Roosevelt22,391
18.1%Willkie4,939
0.0%
+63.9%
27,330
D
81.5%Roosevelt22,187
18.5%Landon5,029
0.0%
+63.0%
27,216
D
77.3%Roosevelt18,017
21.6%Hoover5,045
1.1%Thomas258
+55.6%
23,320
R
41.5%Smith9,182
58.5%Hoover12,923
0.0%
−16.9%
22,105
D
66.7%Davis11,336
30.3%Coolidge5,154
3.0%La Follette512
+36.4%
17,002
D
68.1%Cox11,985
31.9%Harding5,620
0.0%
+36.2%
17,605
D
66.1%Wilson7,539
33.8%Hughes3,859
0.0%Benson3
+32.3%
11,401
D
69.7%Wilson6,573
6.6%Taft627
23.7%Roosevelt2,234
+63.0%
9,434
D
62.8%Bryan6,371
37.2%Taft3,766
0.0%
+25.7%
10,137
D
69.8%Parker5,095
29.9%Roosevelt2,180
0.3%Debs25
+39.9%
7,300
D
64.0%Bryan6,634
35.5%McKinley3,675
0.5%Woolley53
+28.6%
10,362
D
51.2%Bryan8,238
47.5%McKinley7,643
1.3%Palmer211
+3.7%
16,092
D
50.4%Cleveland6,855
36.2%Harrison4,924
13.4%Weaver1,816
+14.2%
13,595
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −15.8% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−15.8%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+14.2%
1896+3.7%
1900+28.6%
1904+39.9%
1908+25.7%
1912+63.0%
1916+32.3%
1920+36.2%
1924+36.4%
1928−16.9%
1932+55.6%
1936+63.0%
1940+63.9%
1944+48.6%
1948+34.6%
1952+17.3%
1956+22.1%
1960+28.6%
1964+15.7%
1968+0.9%
1972−44.8%
1976+28.4%
1980+8.6%
1984−16.5%
1988−8.0%
1992+5.8%
1996−0.5%
2000−5.9%
2004−12.6%
2008−7.4%
2012−10.6%
2016−15.7%
2020−13.2%
2024−15.8%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in WilmingtonRegistered voters by party of registration, 2008–2024. Latest total 445,841 in 2024.111.5K222.9K334.4K445.8K445.8K20082024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Wilmington
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2008313,855141,19198,54573,838281
2012339,951138,412105,43794,8671,235
2016365,434130,484114,515118,6471,788
2020397,879120,103133,236141,5972,943
2022413,810116,032139,661155,2622,855
2024445,841113,210152,714175,7644,153
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

Wilmington's media market punches above its size by doubling as the primary broadcast footprint for a small but delegate-rich state, making it a consistent stop for Senate and presidential-cycle advertising.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.9 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 44.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.8 points.

A population of 533,053, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,105 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Salisbury and Bangor.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Salisbury
Maryland
66.3twin score
median age2000 margin% Asian≠ elasticity
Bangor
Maine
52.2twin score
median ageelasticity% Asian≠ % unaffiliated
Fort Myers-Naples
Florida
48.4twin score
% AsianNorwegian ancestryItalian ancestry≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wilmington, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/550/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Wilmington

counties5
Bladen CountyBrunswick CountyColumbus CountyNew Hanover CountyPender County

Frequently asked questions

How did Wilmington, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wilmington, North Carolina voted Republican by 15.8 points (R+15.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 330,187 votes cast, 137,099 went Democratic and 189,276 went Republican.
When did Wilmington, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wilmington, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Wilmington, North Carolina?
Wilmington, North Carolina has a population of 533,053 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wilmington, North Carolina?
Median household income in Wilmington, North Carolina is $72,105 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Wilmington, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Wilmington, North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.