Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+28.1
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+30.4
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.3 points.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
655,096
174,354
298,031
180,168
2,543
2018
693,394
184,598
312,424
191,516
4,856
2019
689,779
182,593
310,809
190,106
6,271
2020
763,801
203,429
346,933
202,677
10,762
2021
771,734
197,336
350,849
211,104
12,445
2023
748,738
170,651
366,365
195,274
16,448
2024
797,105
173,892
397,969
202,322
22,922
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+7,257 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +270,501 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+10,018
2012
+11,223
2013
+17,060
2014
+21,173
2015
+25,286
2016
+25,691
2017
+18,851
2018
+15,807
2019
+20,827
2021
+39,897
2022
+38,277
2023
+13,506
2024
+5,628
2025
+7,257
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.2 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 59.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 9.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.4 points.
A population of 1,270,902, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,519 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of North Port-Bradenton, FL and Myrtle Beach-Conway, SC.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/163/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida voted Republican by 30.4 points (R+30.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 627,641 votes cast, 216,278 went Democratic and 407,215 went Republican.
When did Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida?
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida has a population of 1,270,902 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida is $79,519 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.
