Akashic

county

Bear Lake County, ID

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English37.4%19.3%9.5%

German9.4%16.5%12.5%

Swedish5.9%1.9%—

Irish5.0%9.5%9.4%

American4.6%5.3%5.3%

Danish3.9%——

Scottish2.5%3.2%1.3%

Italian1.8%2.9%4.8%

Mexican2.7%11.0%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%

Spaniard0.2%0.4%—

Spanish0.2%0.4%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Bear Lake County	Idaho	United States
Median age	40.5	37.6	39.1
Age 18–24	7.5%	9.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.1%	17.1%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Bear Lake County	Idaho	United States
Median household income	$75,260	$77,800	$84,427
Poverty rate	7.0%	10.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	21.6%	31.8%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Bear Lake County	Idaho	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.6%	11.0%	22.3%
Spanish	2.1%	8.1%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	1.1%	0.5%	2.0%

Religious landscape

Measure	Bear Lake County	Idaho	United States
Catholic	2.8%	11.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	12.4%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	9.9%	50.2%	51.5%
Latter-day Saints	87.0%	22.1%	2.0%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 70.8% of 4,788 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic10.4%346TrumpRepublican87.5%2,908KennedyIndependent1.2%40

R+77.1

Lead: 2,562
Total: 3,325
vs nation: R+75.6
Turnout: 70.8%

BidenDemocratic10.6%350TrumpRepublican87.9%2,914JorgensenLibertarian0.8%25

R+77.3

Lead: 2,564
Total: 3,315
vs nation: R+81.8
Turnout: 76.2%

ClintonDemocratic8.7%255TrumpRepublican75.2%2,203McMullinBetter For America12.5%366

R+66.5

Lead: 1,733
Total: 2,928
vs nation: R+68.6
Turnout: 70.7%

ObamaDemocratic10.7%302RomneyRepublican88.2%2,489GoodeConstitution0.4%11

R+77.5

Lead: 2,187
Total: 2,822
vs nation: R+81.4
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic17.1%502McCainRepublican80.8%2,377OtherAll other candidates2.2%64

R+63.7

Lead: 1,875
Total: 2,943
vs nation: R+71.0
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic16.3%494BushRepublican82.4%2,506OtherAll other candidates1.3%40

R+66.2

Lead: 2,012
Total: 3,040
vs nation: R+63.7
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic17.8%517BushRepublican79.2%2,296NaderGreen0.5%15

R+61.4

Lead: 1,779
Total: 2,899
vs nation: R+61.9
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic28.7%805DoleRepublican56.4%1,583PerotReform14.1%396

R+27.7

Lead: 778
Total: 2,808
vs nation: R+36.2
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+77.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 6,6502024 5-year
Median household income: $75,2602024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 93.2%2024 5-year
Black: 0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+54.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+77.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Caribou County, ID · twin score 97.3

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 70.8%3,388 participants ÷ 4,788 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +24.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 46.5%–49.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	3,048	4,312	70.7%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	2,277	4,303	52.9%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	3,365	4,415	76.2%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	2,421	4,661	51.9%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	3,388	4,788	70.8%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

15 precincts · 3,321 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Bear Lake County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -0303	61	457	9	527	11.6%	86.7%	R+75.1
Precinct -0101	51	442	8	501	10.2%	88.2%	R+78.0
Precinct -0202	43	377	12	432	10.0%	87.3%	R+77.3
Precinct -0505	24	347	8	379	6.3%	91.6%	R+85.2
Precinct -1111	22	276	5	303	7.3%	91.1%	R+83.8
Precinct -1515	52	161	8	221	23.5%	72.9%	R+49.3
Precinct -0707	16	194	2	212	7.5%	91.5%	R+84.0
Precinct -1212	19	138	1	158	12.0%	87.3%	R+75.3
Precinct -1313	16	138	2	156	10.3%	88.5%	R+78.2
Precinct -1010	14	99	9	122	11.5%	81.1%	R+69.7
Precinct -0808	7	109	1	117	6.0%	93.2%	R+87.2
Precinct -0909	10	97	1	108	9.3%	89.8%	R+80.6
Precinct -0606	11	73	1	85	12.9%	85.9%	R+72.9
Precinct -1616	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Precinct -1717	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−33.9%
1896	+54.7%
1900	+0.7%
1904	−33.1%
1908	−21.8%
1912	−14.2%
1916	+11.9%
1920	−23.3%
1924	−24.6%
1928	−22.2%
1932	−1.8%
1936	+19.3%
1940	+7.0%
1944	+3.6%
1948	+2.3%
1952	−28.7%
1956	−28.3%
1960	−11.3%
1964	+13.7%
1968	−26.1%
1972	−47.0%
1976	−36.1%
1980	−68.2%
1984	−69.8%
1988	−40.8%
1992	−30.0%
1996	−27.7%
2000	−61.4%
2004	−66.2%
2008	−63.7%
2012	−77.5%
2016	−66.5%
2020	−77.3%
2024	−77.1%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	10.4%Harris346	87.5%Trump2,908	1.2%Kennedy40	R+77.1	D+0.3	R+75.6	3,325
2020	R	10.6%Biden350	87.9%Trump2,914	0.8%Jorgensen25	R+77.3	R+10.8	R+81.8	3,315
2016	R	8.7%Clinton255	75.2%Trump2,203	12.5%McMullin366	R+66.5	D+11.0	R+68.6	2,928
2012	R	10.7%Obama302	88.2%Romney2,489	0.4%Goode11	R+77.5	R+13.8	R+81.4	2,822
2008	R	17.1%Obama502	80.8%McCain2,377	2.2%	R+63.7	D+2.5	R+71.0	2,943
2004	R	16.3%Kerry494	82.4%Bush2,506	1.3%	R+66.2	R+4.8	R+63.7	3,040
2000	R	17.8%Gore517	79.2%Bush2,296	0.5%Nader15	R+61.4	R+33.7	R+61.9	2,899
1996	R	28.7%Clinton805	56.4%Dole1,583	14.1%Perot396	R+27.7	D+2.3	R+36.2	2,808
1992	R	19.7%Clinton562	49.7%Bush1,419	24.0%Perot684	R+30.0	D+10.8	R+35.6	2,854
1988	R	29.1%Dukakis867	69.9%Bush2,084	1.0%	R+40.8	D+28.9	R+33.1	2,980
1984	R	14.7%Mondale481	84.5%Reagan2,760	0.8%	R+69.8	R+1.5	R+51.5	3,267
1980	R	14.2%Carter508	82.5%Reagan2,941	3.3%	R+68.2	R+32.1	R+58.5	3,567
1976	R	30.5%Carter960	66.6%Ford2,094	2.9%	R+36.1	D+10.9	R+38.1	3,144
1972	R	22.5%McGovern716	69.5%Nixon2,213	8.0%	R+47.0	R+20.9	R+23.8	3,185
1968	R	34.1%Humphrey1,058	60.2%Nixon1,866	5.7%	R+26.1	R+39.8	R+25.4	3,101
1964	D	56.9%Johnson1,857	43.1%Goldwater1,409	0.0%	D+13.7	D+25.1	R+8.9	3,266
1960	R	44.3%Kennedy1,563	55.7%Nixon1,963	0.0%	R+11.3	D+17.0	R+11.5	3,526
1956	R	35.8%Stevenson1,218	64.2%Eisenhower2,181	0.0%	R+28.3	D+0.4	R+12.9	3,399
1952	R	35.6%Stevenson1,274	64.4%Eisenhower2,300	0.0%	R+28.7	R+31.0	R+17.9	3,574
1948	D	50.7%Truman1,664	48.5%Dewey1,590	0.8%	D+2.3	R+1.3	R+2.2	3,280
1944	D	51.7%Roosevelt1,732	48.2%Dewey1,613	0.1%	D+3.6	R+3.4	R+3.9	3,347
1940	D	53.5%Roosevelt2,026	46.5%Willkie1,761	0.0%	D+7.0	R+12.3	R+2.9	3,787
1936	D	59.6%Roosevelt2,078	40.3%Landon1,404	0.1%	D+19.3	D+21.2	R+4.9	3,486
1932	R	49.0%Roosevelt1,721	50.9%Hoover1,785	0.1%	R+1.8	D+20.4	R+19.6	3,509
1928	R	38.8%Smith1,146	61.0%Hoover1,802	0.2%	R+22.2	D+2.4	R+4.7	2,955
1924	R	29.6%Davis881	54.2%Coolidge1,611	16.2%La Follette481	R+24.6	R+1.2	D+0.6	2,973
1920	R	38.3%Cox1,138	61.7%Harding1,831	0.0%	R+23.3	R+35.3	D+2.8	2,969
1916	D	55.4%Wilson1,566	43.4%Hughes1,229	1.2%	D+11.9	D+26.1	D+8.8	2,829
1912	R	36.7%Wilson916	51.0%Taft1,271	12.3%	R+14.2	D+7.6	R+33.8	2,494
1908	R	38.6%Bryan933	60.4%Taft1,460	1.0%	R+21.8	D+11.3	R+12.3	2,416
1904	R	33.1%Parker769	66.3%Roosevelt1,538	0.6%	R+33.1	R+33.9	R+13.5	2,321
1900	D	49.7%Bryan1,077	49.0%McKinley1,061	1.3%	D+0.7	R+53.9	D+8.3	2,166
1896	D	77.3%Bryan851	22.6%McKinley249	0.1%	D+54.7	D+88.6	D+60.8	1,101
1892	O	0.0%Cleveland0	33.9%Harrison114	66.1%	Weaver +32.1	—	R+35.6	336
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 6 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	8.3%281	91.7%3,109	3,390
2020	R	9.7%309	90.3%2,870	3,179
2018	R	13.6%291	86.4%1,844	2,135

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	8.7%392	83.4%3,742	4,488
2020Class II	R	10.8%Paulette Jordan355	84.6%Jim Risch2,791	3,301
2016Class III	R	10.0%Jerry Sturgill291	82.9%Michael Crapo2,415	2,914
2014Class II	R	15.3%Nels Mitchell289	84.7%Jim Risch1,599	1,888
2010Class III	R	15.0%P. Tom Sullivan331	80.3%Michael Crapo1,771	2,206
2008Class II	R	18.1%Larry LaRocco525	74.7%Jim Risch2,162	2,894
2004Class III	R	0.0%None0	99.8%Michael Crapo2,706	2,711
2002Class II	R	20.7%Alan Blinken499	77.8%Larry E. Craig1,877	2,412
1998Class III	R	20.6%Bill Mauk422	76.4%Michael Crapo1,563	2,046
1996Class II	R	29.2%Walt Minnick798	67.3%Larry E. Craig1,843	2,737
1992Class III	R	30.2%Richard Stallings862	69.8%Dirk Kempthorne1,995	2,857
1990Class II	R	30.5%Ron J. Twilegar613	69.5%Larry E. Craig1,398	2,011
1986Class III	R	36.2%John V. Evans993	63.8%Steven D. Symms1,748	2,741
1984Class II	R	14.3%Peter M. Busch438	85.6%James A. McClure2,623	3,066
1980Class III	R	29.3%Frank Church1,033	70.3%Steven D. Symms2,479	3,526
1978Class II	R	25.9%Dwight Jensen636	74.1%James A. McClure1,822	2,458
1974Class III	D	53.8%Frank Church1,395	44.3%Robert L. Smith1,150	2,594
1972Class II	R	45.4%Bud Davis1,434	52.3%James A. McClure1,653	3,161
1968Class III	D	59.6%Frank Church1,824	40.4%George V. Hansen1,238	3,062
1966Class II	D	50.8%Ralph R. Harding1,419	49.2%Len B. Jordan1,372	2,791
1962Class III	D	65.7%Frank Church1,944	34.3%Jack Hawley1,015	2,959
1960Class II	R	48.6%Bob McLaughlin1,675	51.4%Henry C. Dworshak1,775	3,450
1956Class III	D	60.1%Frank Church1,934	39.9%Herman Welker1,286	3,220
1954Class II	R	36.9%Glen H. Taylor1,200	63.1%Henry C. Dworshak2,048	3,248
1950Class III	R	44.1%D. Worth Clark1,369	55.9%Herman Welker1,737	3,106
1948Class II	R	47.6%Bert C. Miller1,589	52.1%Henry C. Dworshak1,737	3,335
1944Class III	R	49.3%Glen H. Taylor1,666	50.7%C.A. Bottolfsen1,710	3,376
1942Class II	R	47.9%Glen H. Taylor1,377	52.1%John Thomas1,498	2,875
1938Class III	R	49.8%D. Worth Clark1,653	50.2%Donald A. Callahan1,664	3,318
1936Class II	R	38.0%C. Ben Ross1,369	62.0%William E. Borah2,235	3,604
1932Class III	R	45.4%James Pope1,573	54.5%John Thomas1,886	3,462
1930Class II	R	33.0%Joseph M. Tyler959	67.0%William E. Borah1,949	2,908
1926Class III	R	30.3%John F. Nugent830	47.0%Frank R. Gooding1,286	2,739
1924Class II	R	30.0%Frank Martin833	69.9%William E. Borah1,944	2,780
1920Class III	R	40.1%John F. Nugent1,183	59.9%Frank R. Gooding1,767	2,950
1918Class II	R	40.5%Frank L. Moore843	59.5%William E. Borah1,240	2,083
1914Class III	R	42.5%James H. Hawley1,030	56.4%James H. Brady1,366	2,424

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1962Special · Class II	R	49.5%Gracie Pfost1,285	50.5%Len B. Jordan1,313	2,598
1950Special · Class II	D	53.5%Claude J. Burtenshaw1,676	46.5%Henry C. Dworshak1,459	3,135
1946Special · Class II	R	42.3%George E. Donart1,305	57.7%Henry C. Dworshak1,783	3,088
1940Special · Class II	R	43.6%Glen H. Taylor1,639	56.4%John Thomas2,119	3,758
1928Special · Class III	R	39.1%Chase Clark1,141	60.7%John Thomas1,773	2,920
1918Special · Class III	R	40.9%John F. Nugent860	59.1%Frank R. Gooding1,244	2,104

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	6.2%Stephen Heidt280	62.3%Brad Little2,824	4,532
2018	R	14.3%Paulette Jordan307	82.8%Brad Little1,780	2,151
2014	R	16.8%A. J. Balukoff317	72.8%Butch Otter1,378	1,892
2010	R	26.7%Keith G. Allred592	66.9%Butch Otter1,484	2,217
2006	R	28.0%Jerry Brady621	67.8%Butch Otter1,505	2,219
2002	R	30.2%Jerry Brady734	68.4%Dirk Kempthorne1,663	2,433
1998	R	23.5%Robert Huntley484	72.8%Dirk Kempthorne1,497	2,056
1994	R	41.8%Larry Echo Hawk1,039	56.8%Phil Batt1,412	2,487
1990	D	52.8%Cecil Andrus1,152	47.2%Roger Fairchild1,031	2,183
1986	R	36.3%Cecil Andrus990	63.2%David Leroy1,726	2,731
1982	R	35.3%John V. Evans1,056	64.7%Phil Batt1,935	2,991
1978	R	33.8%John Evans897	65.4%Allan Larsen1,732	2,650

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2024R+77.0

Presidential vote · 2024R+77.1

Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.1 points.

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in Bear Lake County, ID
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2018	3,331	113	2,590	604	24
2020	3,668	155	2,884	604	25
2022	3,609	138	2,945	497	29
2024	3,750	157	3,044	515	34

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+44 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +331 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $80,630 in average income, against $69,841 for residents who stayed — 15% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Bear Lake County, ID in Bear Lake County, ID: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−16
2012	−77
2013	+30
2014	−38
2015	−65
2016	+19
2017	+63
2018	−1
2019	+65
2021	+192
2022	+147
2023	+6
2024	−38
2025	+44

Bear Lake's 2024 presidential margin of R+77.3 ranks among the widest in Idaho, reflecting a rural, majority-LDS population concentrated near the Utah border whose voting patterns closely mirror neighboring Cache and Rich counties across the state line.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.7 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 77.5 points in 2012. The 2024 margin was 77.1 points.

A population of 6,650, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,260 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Caribou County and Oneida County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Caribou County

Idaho

97.3twin score

2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry

Oneida County

Idaho

96.3twin score

2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry

Rich County

Utah

95.3twin score

2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Bear Lake County, Idaho. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/16007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Bear Lake County

Montpelier

R+76

2.7K residents

Idaho at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Bear Lake County, Idaho vote in 2024?

In 2024, Bear Lake County, Idaho voted Republican by 77.1 points (R+77.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,325 votes cast, 346 went Democratic and 2,908 went Republican.

When did Bear Lake County, Idaho last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Bear Lake County, Idaho voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Bear Lake County, Idaho?

Bear Lake County, Idaho has a population of 6,650 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Bear Lake County, Idaho?

Median household income in Bear Lake County, Idaho is $75,260 — below the national median of $80,734. The Idaho state median is $77,800.

What is the political history of Bear Lake County, Idaho?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bear Lake County, Idaho from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.

Measure

Bear Lake County

Idaho

United States

Median age

40.5

37.6

39.1

Age 18–24

7.5%

9.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

21.1%

17.1%

17.2%

Measure

Bear Lake County

Idaho

United States

Median household income

$75,260

$77,800

$84,427

Poverty rate

7.0%

10.7%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

21.6%

31.8%

35.6%

Measure

Bear Lake County

Idaho

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

3.6%

11.0%

22.3%

Spanish

2.1%

8.1%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

1.1%

0.5%

2.0%

Measure

Bear Lake County

Idaho

United States

Catholic

2.8%

11.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

—

12.4%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

9.9%

50.2%

51.5%

Latter-day Saints

87.0%

22.1%

2.0%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+77.1MIT Election Lab

Population

6,6502024 5-year

Median household income

$75,2602024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

93.2%2024 5-year

Black

0.5%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+54.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+77.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Caribou County, ID · twin score 97.3

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

3,048

4,312

70.7%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

2,277

4,303

52.9%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

3,365

4,415

76.2%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

2,421

4,661

51.9%

C/A

2024 · Presidential

3,388

4,788

70.8%

A/A

Bear Lake County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -0303

457

527

11.6%

86.7%

R+75.1

Precinct -0101

442

501

10.2%

88.2%

R+78.0

Precinct -0202

377

432

10.0%

87.3%

R+77.3

Precinct -0505

347

379

6.3%

91.6%

R+85.2

Precinct -1111

276

303

7.3%

91.1%

R+83.8

Precinct -1515

161

221

23.5%

72.9%

R+49.3

Precinct -0707

194

212

7.5%

91.5%

R+84.0

Precinct -1212

138

158

12.0%

87.3%

R+75.3

Precinct -1313

138

156

10.3%

88.5%

R+78.2

Precinct -1010

122

11.5%

81.1%

R+69.7

Precinct -0808

109

117

6.0%

93.2%

R+87.2

Precinct -0909

108

9.3%

89.8%

R+80.6

Precinct -0606

12.9%

85.9%

R+72.9

Precinct -1616

—

No votes

Precinct -1717

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−33.9%
1896	+54.7%
1900	+0.7%
1904	−33.1%
1908	−21.8%
1912	−14.2%
1916	+11.9%
1920	−23.3%
1924	−24.6%
1928	−22.2%
1932	−1.8%
1936	+19.3%
1940	+7.0%
1944	+3.6%
1948	+2.3%
1952	−28.7%
1956	−28.3%
1960	−11.3%
1964	+13.7%
1968	−26.1%
1972	−47.0%
1976	−36.1%
1980	−68.2%
1984	−69.8%
1988	−40.8%
1992	−30.0%
1996	−27.7%
2000	−61.4%
2004	−66.2%
2008	−63.7%
2012	−77.5%
2016	−66.5%
2020	−77.3%
2024	−77.1%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

10.4%Harris346

87.5%Trump2,908

1.2%Kennedy40

R+77.1

D+0.3

R+75.6

3,325

2020

10.6%Biden350

87.9%Trump2,914

0.8%Jorgensen25

R+77.3

R+10.8

R+81.8

3,315

2016

8.7%Clinton255

75.2%Trump2,203

12.5%McMullin366

R+66.5

D+11.0

R+68.6

2,928

2012

10.7%Obama302

88.2%Romney2,489

0.4%Goode11

R+77.5

R+13.8

R+81.4

2,822

2008

17.1%Obama502

80.8%McCain2,377

2.2%

R+63.7

D+2.5

R+71.0

2,943

2004

16.3%Kerry494

82.4%Bush2,506

1.3%

R+66.2

R+4.8

R+63.7

3,040

2000

17.8%Gore517

79.2%Bush2,296

0.5%Nader15

R+61.4

R+33.7

R+61.9

2,899

1996

28.7%Clinton805

56.4%Dole1,583

14.1%Perot396

R+27.7

D+2.3

R+36.2

2,808

1992

19.7%Clinton562

49.7%Bush1,419

24.0%Perot684

R+30.0

D+10.8

R+35.6

2,854

1988

29.1%Dukakis867

69.9%Bush2,084

1.0%

R+40.8

D+28.9

R+33.1

2,980

1984

14.7%Mondale481

84.5%Reagan2,760

0.8%

R+69.8

R+1.5

R+51.5

3,267

1980

14.2%Carter508

82.5%Reagan2,941

3.3%

R+68.2

R+32.1

R+58.5

3,567

1976

30.5%Carter960

66.6%Ford2,094

2.9%

R+36.1

D+10.9

R+38.1

3,144

1972

22.5%McGovern716

69.5%Nixon2,213

8.0%

R+47.0

R+20.9

R+23.8

3,185

1968

34.1%Humphrey1,058

60.2%Nixon1,866

5.7%

R+26.1

R+39.8

R+25.4

3,101

1964

56.9%Johnson1,857

43.1%Goldwater1,409

0.0%

D+13.7

D+25.1

R+8.9

3,266

1960

44.3%Kennedy1,563

55.7%Nixon1,963

0.0%

R+11.3

D+17.0

R+11.5

3,526

1956

35.8%Stevenson1,218

64.2%Eisenhower2,181

0.0%

R+28.3

D+0.4

R+12.9

3,399

1952

35.6%Stevenson1,274

64.4%Eisenhower2,300

0.0%

R+28.7

R+31.0

R+17.9

3,574

1948

50.7%Truman1,664

48.5%Dewey1,590

0.8%

D+2.3

R+1.3

R+2.2

3,280

1944

51.7%Roosevelt1,732

48.2%Dewey1,613

0.1%

D+3.6

R+3.4

R+3.9

3,347

1940

53.5%Roosevelt2,026

46.5%Willkie1,761

0.0%

D+7.0

R+12.3

R+2.9

3,787

1936

59.6%Roosevelt2,078

40.3%Landon1,404

0.1%

D+19.3

D+21.2

R+4.9

3,486

1932

49.0%Roosevelt1,721

50.9%Hoover1,785

0.1%

R+1.8

D+20.4

R+19.6

3,509

1928

38.8%Smith1,146

61.0%Hoover1,802

0.2%

R+22.2

D+2.4

R+4.7

2,955

1924

29.6%Davis881

54.2%Coolidge1,611

16.2%La Follette481

R+24.6

R+1.2

D+0.6

2,973

1920

38.3%Cox1,138

61.7%Harding1,831

0.0%

R+23.3

R+35.3

D+2.8

2,969

1916

55.4%Wilson1,566

43.4%Hughes1,229

1.2%

D+11.9

D+26.1

D+8.8

2,829

1912

36.7%Wilson916

51.0%Taft1,271

12.3%

R+14.2

D+7.6

R+33.8

2,494

1908

38.6%Bryan933

60.4%Taft1,460

1.0%

R+21.8

D+11.3

R+12.3

2,416

1904

33.1%Parker769

66.3%Roosevelt1,538

0.6%

R+33.1

R+33.9

R+13.5

2,321

1900

49.7%Bryan1,077

49.0%McKinley1,061

1.3%

D+0.7

R+53.9

D+8.3

2,166

1896

77.3%Bryan851

22.6%McKinley249

0.1%

D+54.7

D+88.6

D+60.8

1,101

1892

0.0%Cleveland0

33.9%Harrison114

66.1%

Weaver +32.1

—

R+35.6

336

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

8.3%281

91.7%3,109

3,390

2020

9.7%309

90.3%2,870

3,179

2018

13.6%291

86.4%1,844

2,135

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

8.7%392

83.4%3,742

4,488

2020Class II

10.8%Paulette Jordan355

84.6%Jim Risch2,791

3,301

2016Class III

10.0%Jerry Sturgill291

82.9%Michael Crapo2,415

2,914

2014Class II

15.3%Nels Mitchell289

84.7%Jim Risch1,599

1,888

2010Class III

15.0%P. Tom Sullivan331

80.3%Michael Crapo1,771

2,206

2008Class II

18.1%Larry LaRocco525

74.7%Jim Risch2,162

2,894

2004Class III

0.0%None0

99.8%Michael Crapo2,706

2,711

2002Class II

20.7%Alan Blinken499

77.8%Larry E. Craig1,877

2,412

1998Class III

20.6%Bill Mauk422

76.4%Michael Crapo1,563

2,046

1996Class II

29.2%Walt Minnick798

67.3%Larry E. Craig1,843

2,737

1992Class III

30.2%Richard Stallings862

69.8%Dirk Kempthorne1,995

2,857

1990Class II

30.5%Ron J. Twilegar613

69.5%Larry E. Craig1,398

2,011

1986Class III

36.2%John V. Evans993

63.8%Steven D. Symms1,748

2,741

1984Class II

14.3%Peter M. Busch438

85.6%James A. McClure2,623

3,066

1980Class III

29.3%Frank Church1,033

70.3%Steven D. Symms2,479

3,526

1978Class II

25.9%Dwight Jensen636

74.1%James A. McClure1,822

2,458

1974Class III

53.8%Frank Church1,395

44.3%Robert L. Smith1,150

2,594

1972Class II

45.4%Bud Davis1,434

52.3%James A. McClure1,653

3,161

1968Class III

59.6%Frank Church1,824

40.4%George V. Hansen1,238

3,062

1966Class II

50.8%Ralph R. Harding1,419

49.2%Len B. Jordan1,372

2,791

1962Class III

65.7%Frank Church1,944

34.3%Jack Hawley1,015

2,959

1960Class II

48.6%Bob McLaughlin1,675

51.4%Henry C. Dworshak1,775

3,450

1956Class III

60.1%Frank Church1,934

39.9%Herman Welker1,286

3,220

1954Class II

36.9%Glen H. Taylor1,200

63.1%Henry C. Dworshak2,048

3,248

1950Class III

44.1%D. Worth Clark1,369

55.9%Herman Welker1,737

3,106

1948Class II

47.6%Bert C. Miller1,589

52.1%Henry C. Dworshak1,737

3,335

1944Class III

49.3%Glen H. Taylor1,666

50.7%C.A. Bottolfsen1,710

3,376

1942Class II

47.9%Glen H. Taylor1,377

52.1%John Thomas1,498

2,875

1938Class III

49.8%D. Worth Clark1,653

50.2%Donald A. Callahan1,664

3,318

1936Class II

38.0%C. Ben Ross1,369

62.0%William E. Borah2,235

3,604

1932Class III

45.4%James Pope1,573

54.5%John Thomas1,886

3,462

1930Class II

33.0%Joseph M. Tyler959

67.0%William E. Borah1,949

2,908

1926Class III

30.3%John F. Nugent830

47.0%Frank R. Gooding1,286

2,739

1924Class II

30.0%Frank Martin833

69.9%William E. Borah1,944

2,780

1920Class III

40.1%John F. Nugent1,183

59.9%Frank R. Gooding1,767

2,950

1918Class II

40.5%Frank L. Moore843

59.5%William E. Borah1,240

2,083

1914Class III

42.5%James H. Hawley1,030

56.4%James H. Brady1,366

2,424

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1962Special · Class II

49.5%Gracie Pfost1,285

50.5%Len B. Jordan1,313

2,598

1950Special · Class II

53.5%Claude J. Burtenshaw1,676

46.5%Henry C. Dworshak1,459

3,135

1946Special · Class II

42.3%George E. Donart1,305

57.7%Henry C. Dworshak1,783

3,088

1940Special · Class II

43.6%Glen H. Taylor1,639

56.4%John Thomas2,119

3,758

1928Special · Class III

39.1%Chase Clark1,141

60.7%John Thomas1,773

2,920

1918Special · Class III

40.9%John F. Nugent860

59.1%Frank R. Gooding1,244

2,104

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

6.2%Stephen Heidt280

62.3%Brad Little2,824

4,532

2018

14.3%Paulette Jordan307

82.8%Brad Little1,780

2,151

2014

16.8%A. J. Balukoff317

72.8%Butch Otter1,378

1,892

2010

26.7%Keith G. Allred592

66.9%Butch Otter1,484

2,217

2006

28.0%Jerry Brady621

67.8%Butch Otter1,505

2,219

2002

30.2%Jerry Brady734

68.4%Dirk Kempthorne1,663

2,433

1998

23.5%Robert Huntley484

72.8%Dirk Kempthorne1,497

2,056

1994

41.8%Larry Echo Hawk1,039

56.8%Phil Batt1,412

2,487

1990

52.8%Cecil Andrus1,152

47.2%Roger Fairchild1,031

2,183

1986

36.3%Cecil Andrus990

63.2%David Leroy1,726

2,731

1982

35.3%John V. Evans1,056

64.7%Phil Batt1,935

2,991

1978

33.8%John Evans897

65.4%Allan Larsen1,732

2,650

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Bear Lake County, ID
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2018	3,331	113	2,590	604	24
2020	3,668	155	2,884	604	25
2022	3,609	138	2,945	497	29
2024	3,750	157	3,044	515	34

How did Bear Lake County, Idaho vote in 2024?

In 2024, Bear Lake County, Idaho voted Republican by 77.1 points (R+77.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,325 votes cast, 346 went Democratic and 2,908 went Republican.

When did Bear Lake County, Idaho last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Bear Lake County, Idaho voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Bear Lake County, Idaho?

Bear Lake County, Idaho has a population of 6,650 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Bear Lake County, Idaho?

Median household income in Bear Lake County, Idaho is $75,260 — below the national median of $80,734. The Idaho state median is $77,800.

What is the political history of Bear Lake County, Idaho?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bear Lake County, Idaho from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.