Hailey, Idaho
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +27.2% |
| 2008 | +40.3% |
| 2012 | +31.1% |
| 2016 | +38.1% |
| 2020 | +49.8% |
| 2024 | +45.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 71.2%Harris3,115 | 25.5%Trump1,114 | 3.3% | D+45.7 | R+4.1 | D+47.2 | 4,374 | |
| D | 73.5%Biden3,135 | 23.6%Trump1,008 | 2.9% | D+49.8 | D+11.7 | D+45.4 | 4,268 | |
| D | 64.7%Clinton2,228 | 26.5%Trump914 | 8.8% | D+38.1 | D+7.1 | D+36.1 | 3,445 | |
| D | 64.2%Obama2,176 | 33.2%Romney1,124 | 2.6% | D+31.1 | R+9.3 | D+27.2 | 3,387 | |
| D | 69.0%Obama2,273 | 28.6%McCain944 | 2.4% | D+40.3 | D+13.1 | D+33.0 | 3,296 | |
| D | 62.7%Kerry1,963 | 35.5%Bush1,112 | 1.7% | D+27.2 | — | D+29.7 | 3,129 |
Hailey serves as the urban core of Blaine County, one of Idaho's few reliably Democratic-leaning counties, driven by Sun Valley–area migration and a younger, college-educated workforce that tilts the Wood River Valley's margins sharply from surrounding rural Idaho.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.8 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.7 points.
A population of 9,665, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,760 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cedar Hills and Hood River.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Hailey, Idaho. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1634390/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.