Danbury, Connecticut
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +5.6% |
| 2008 | +19.6% |
| 2012 | +17.9% |
| 2016 | +15.5% |
| 2020 | +19.0% |
| 2024 | +7.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 53.1%Harris16,318 | 45.5%Trump13,971 | 1.4% | D+7.6 | R+11.3 | D+9.1 | 30,704 | |
| D | 58.9%Biden18,869 | 39.9%Trump12,788 | 1.1% | D+19.0 | D+3.5 | D+14.5 | 32,021 | |
| D | 55.8%Clinton16,084 | 40.3%Trump11,626 | 3.9% | D+15.5 | R+2.5 | D+13.4 | 28,849 | |
| D | 58.5%Obama16,397 | 40.6%Romney11,370 | 1.0% | D+17.9 | R+1.7 | D+14.1 | 28,034 | |
| D | 59.3%Obama16,030 | 39.7%McCain10,734 | 0.9% | D+19.6 | D+14.0 | D+12.3 | 27,017 | |
| D | 52.2%Kerry13,595 | 46.6%Bush12,132 | 1.2% | D+5.6 | — | D+8.1 | 26,037 |
Danbury's electorate has shifted measurably as its Latino and Brazilian immigrant communities expanded, making naturalization rates and first-time voter registration a reliable leading indicator of citywide margin swings.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.6 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 11.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.6 points.
A population of 87,263, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,393 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yonkers and Revere.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Danbury, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0918430/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.