Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic63.7%394TrumpRepublican33.8%209OtherAll other candidates2.6%16
D+29.9
Lead
185
Total
619
vs nation
D+31.4
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic83.9%359TrumpRepublican15.0%64OtherAll other candidates1.2%5
D+68.9
Lead
295
Total
428
vs nation
D+64.5
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic84.7%283TrumpRepublican8.7%29OtherAll other candidates6.6%22
D+76.0
Lead
254
Total
334
vs nation
D+74.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic79.7%290RomneyRepublican17.9%65OtherAll other candidates2.5%9
D+61.8
Lead
225
Total
364
vs nation
D+58.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic76.4%233McCainRepublican23.0%70OtherAll other candidates0.7%2
D+53.4
Lead
163
Total
305
vs nation
D+46.2
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic68.8%207BushRepublican29.2%88OtherAll other candidates2.0%6
D+39.5
Lead
119
Total
301
vs nation
D+42.0
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+29.9MIT Election Lab
Population
2,8992024 5-year
Median household income
$84,8752024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
3.6%2024 5-year
Black
2.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
93.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+76.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+39.5%
2008
+53.4%
2012
+61.8%
2016
+76.0%
2020
+68.9%
2024
+29.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
63.7%Harris394
33.8%Trump209
2.6%
D+29.9
R+39.0
D+31.4
619
D
83.9%Biden359
15.0%Trump64
1.2%
D+68.9
R+7.1
D+64.5
428
D
84.7%Clinton283
8.7%Trump29
6.6%
D+76.0
D+14.2
D+74.0
334
D
79.7%Obama290
17.9%Romney65
2.5%
D+61.8
D+8.4
D+58.0
364
D
76.4%Obama233
23.0%McCain70
0.7%
D+53.4
—
D+46.2
305
D
68.8%Kerry207
29.2%Bush88
2.0%
D+39.5
—
D+42.0
301
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Pajaro is a predominantly Latino, Spanish-speaking community whose workforce is anchored in Monterey Bay agriculture. Its low voter-registration rates relative to population size reflect the high share of non-citizen residents typical of California's coastal farm belt.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 39.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.9 points.
A population of 2,899, a 4% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,875 describe the city.
In 2024, Pajaro, California voted Democratic by 29.9 points (D+29.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 619 votes cast, 394 went Democratic and 209 went Republican.
How many people live in Pajaro, California?
Pajaro, California has a population of 2,899 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pajaro, California?
Median household income in Pajaro, California is $84,875 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Pajaro, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Pajaro, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.