Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic68.4%1,539TrumpRepublican28.8%648OtherAll other candidates2.8%62
D+39.6
Lead
891
Total
2,249
vs nation
D+41.1
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic68.7%1,654TrumpRepublican29.7%714OtherAll other candidates1.7%40
D+39.0
Lead
940
Total
2,408
vs nation
D+34.6
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic63.6%1,380TrumpRepublican30.4%660OtherAll other candidates5.9%129
D+33.2
Lead
720
Total
2,169
vs nation
D+31.1
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic60.3%1,440RomneyRepublican37.1%886OtherAll other candidates2.6%62
D+23.2
Lead
554
Total
2,388
vs nation
D+19.3
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic62.0%452McCainRepublican35.5%259OtherAll other candidates2.5%18
D+26.5
Lead
193
Total
729
vs nation
D+19.2
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic53.3%414BushRepublican42.1%327OtherAll other candidates4.6%36
D+11.2
Lead
87
Total
777
vs nation
D+13.7
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+39.6MIT Election Lab
Population
3,1622024 5-year
Median household income
$129,2502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+39.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+11.2%
2008
+26.5%
2012
+23.2%
2016
+33.2%
2020
+39.0%
2024
+39.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
68.4%Harris1,539
28.8%Trump648
2.8%
D+39.6
D+0.6
D+41.1
2,249
D
68.7%Biden1,654
29.7%Trump714
1.7%
D+39.0
D+5.8
D+34.6
2,408
D
63.6%Clinton1,380
30.4%Trump660
5.9%
D+33.2
D+10.0
D+31.1
2,169
D
60.3%Obama1,440
37.1%Romney886
2.6%
D+23.2
R+3.3
D+19.3
2,388
D
62.0%Obama452
35.5%McCain259
2.5%
D+26.5
—
D+19.2
729
D
53.3%Kerry414
42.1%Bush327
4.6%
D+11.2
—
D+13.7
777
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Carmel-by-the-Sea's electorate skews older, white, and college-educated, producing voter participation rates that routinely exceed county averages despite a registered population numbering in the hundreds.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.6 points.
A population of 3,162, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $129,250 describe the city.
How did Carmel-by-the-Sea, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carmel-by-the-Sea, California voted Democratic by 39.6 points (D+39.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,249 votes cast, 1,539 went Democratic and 648 went Republican.
How many people live in Carmel-by-the-Sea, California?
Carmel-by-the-Sea, California has a population of 3,162 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carmel-by-the-Sea, California?
Median household income in Carmel-by-the-Sea, California is $129,250 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Carmel-by-the-Sea, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Carmel-by-the-Sea, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.