New York 15th Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | +80.2% |
| 2012 | +85.5% |
| 2016 | +81.8% |
| 2020 | +70.2% |
| 2024 | +48.3% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | D | 69.2%130,392 | 17.2%32,494 | 188,545 |
| 2022 | 15 | D | 75.1%76,406 | 15.6%15,882 | 101,732 |
| 2020 | 15 | D | 88.7%169,533 | 9.9%18,984 | 191,037 |
| 2018 | 15 | D | 94.0%122,007 | 3.5%4,566 | 129,751 |
| 2016 | 15 | D | 95.2%165,688 | 3.5%6,129 | 174,036 |
| 2014 | 15 | D | 94.0%53,128 | 0.0%0 | 56,521 |
| 2012 | 15 | D | 95.6%150,243 | 2.2%3,487 | 157,088 |
| 2010 | 15 | D | 80.4%91,225 | 9.4%10,678 | 113,429 |
| 2008 | 15 | D | 85.8%170,372 | 7.9%15,676 | 198,676 |
| 2006 | 15 | D | 84.9%93,857 | 6.0%6,592 | 110,508 |
| 2004 | 15 | D | 86.5%153,099 | 7.0%12,355 | 177,051 |
| 2002 | 15 | D | 80.8%77,036 | 9.2%8,790 | 95,375 |
| 2000 | 15 | D | 87.8%124,415 | 4.9%6,906 | 141,664 |
| 1998 | 15 | D | 90.9%88,271 | 5.8%5,633 | 97,139 |
| 1996 | 15 | D | 87.1%108,680 | 4.8%5,951 | 124,734 |
| 1994 | 15 | D | 68.7%74,566 | 0.0%0 | 108,602 |
| 1992 | 15 | D | 91.5%101,229 | 0.0%0 | 110,693 |
| 1990 | 15 | R | 28.4%30,519 | 45.1%48,505 | 107,522 |
| 1988 | 15 | R | 36.7%64,425 | 57.4%100,701 | 175,483 |
| 1986 | 15 | R | 38.3%38,436 | 54.8%54,949 | 100,361 |
| 1984 | 15 | R | 40.9%78,575 | 53.3%102,317 | 192,048 |
| 1982 | 15 | R | 39.0%48,200 | 50.3%62,273 | 123,698 |
| 1980 | 15 | D | 50.2%49,684 | 38.1%37,709 | 98,976 |
| 1978 | 15 | D | 59.0%42,646 | 28.4%20,508 | 72,331 |
| 1976 | 15 | D | 54.2%59,350 | 30.7%33,641 | 109,487 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.8%4,711,669 | 40.5%3,246,690 | 8,011,270 |
| 2022 | D | 51.7%3,022,822 | 37.7%2,204,499 | 5,848,556 |
| 2018 | D | 62.0%3,755,489 | 28.6%1,730,439 | 6,055,151 |
| 2016 | D | 64.7%4,784,220 | 23.3%1,723,927 | 7,396,308 |
| 2012 | D | 66.4%4,420,043 | 22.7%1,514,647 | 6,660,665 |
| 2010 | D | 66.3%3,047,880 | 27.0%1,239,605 | 4,595,515 |
| 2006 | D | 60.1%2,698,931 | 27.0%1,212,902 | 4,490,053 |
| 2004 | D | 65.4%4,384,907 | 24.2%1,625,069 | 6,702,875 |
| 2000 | D | 52.5%3,562,415 | 40.2%2,724,589 | 6,779,839 |
| 1998 | D | 51.1%2,386,314 | 36.0%1,680,203 | 4,670,805 |
| 1994 | D | 47.5%2,528,387 | 32.1%1,711,760 | 5,328,486 |
| 1992 | D | 45.6%2,943,001 | 41.1%2,652,822 | 6,458,826 |
| 1988 | D | 64.7%3,907,178 | 27.9%1,686,558 | 6,040,980 |
| 1986 | R | 38.4%1,723,216 | 45.3%2,030,260 | 4,484,859 |
| 1982 | D | 62.2%3,089,871 | 28.5%1,415,749 | 4,967,497 |
| 1980 | D | 43.5%2,618,661 | 37.8%2,272,082 | 6,014,841 |
| 1976 | D | 48.6%3,238,511 | 37.9%2,525,139 | 6,666,875 |
New York's 15th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in parts of Bronx county. About 777,000 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 35.5. Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2012, by narrowing margins. The margin was D+85.5 in 2012, D+81.8 in 2016, D+70.3 in 2020, and D+48.3 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 22.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.3 points.
A population of 777,002, a 14% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,075 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 14 and Congressional District 24.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
New York 15th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3615/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.