New York 15th Congressional District, New York: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+45%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 2012.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+45MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 589,6652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,6762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 13.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: SERRANO, José E. (2019–2021), SERRANO, José E. (2017–2019), SERRANO, José E. (2015–2017), SERRANO, José E. (2013–2015)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 109,838 | 41,209 | 152,817 | ||
| D | 149,170 | 28,434 | 178,767 | ||
| D | 148,445 | 15,866 | 167,702 | ||
| D | 142,386 | 12,579 | 155,704 | ||
| D | 141,987 | 17,497 | 160,062 | ||
| D | 119,208 | 23,801 | 143,968 | ||
| D | 111,572 | 15,214 | 129,311 | ||
| D | 104,215 | 12,775 | 121,456 | ||
| D | 94,461 | 26,575 | 128,219 | ||
| D | 91,610 | 31,920 | 125,121 | ||
| D | 93,653 | 45,883 | 140,066 | ||
| D | 76,014 | 36,453 | 118,727 | ||
| D | 100,232 | 40,650 | 141,622 | ||
| D | 102,146 | 82,589 | 185,186 | ||
| D | 116,434 | 59,737 | 186,589 | ||
| D | 169,168 | 56,994 | 226,498 | ||
| D | 163,629 | 76,561 | 241,058 | ||
| D | 144,322 | 108,038 | 252,360 | ||
| D | 164,745 | 101,538 | 272,318 | ||
| D | 141,512 | 72,636 | 261,237 | ||
| D | 189,111 | 88,635 | 279,153 | ||
| D | 175,849 | 83,235 | 262,014 | ||
| D | 176,140 | 39,101 | 221,975 | ||
| D | 118,090 | 32,148 | 167,868 | ||
| D | 97,705 | 41,403 | 144,374 | ||
| R | 30,575 | 33,405 | 90,943 | ||
| R | 19,200 | 44,515 | 78,633 | ||
| D | 20,094 | 17,184 | 40,382 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 56.2% | 38.7% | 8,381,397 |
| 2022 | D | 51.7% | 37.7% | 5,848,556 |
| 2018 | D | 62.0% | 28.6% | 6,055,151 |
| 2016 | D | 61.3% | 22.1% | 7,800,725 |
| 2012 | D | 62.1% | 21.3% | 7,116,628 |
| 2010 | D | 64.0% | 26.0% | 4,763,899 |
| 2006 | D | 57.4% | 25.8% | 4,700,632 |
| 2004 | D | 58.9% | 21.8% | 7,447,818 |
| 2000 | D | 51.2% | 39.1% | 6,959,662 |
| 1998 | D | 47.8% | 33.7% | 4,989,877 |
| 1994 | D | 47.5% | 32.1% | 5,328,486 |
| 1992 | D | 41.6% | 37.5% | 7,078,805 |
| 1988 | D | 64.7% | 27.9% | 6,040,980 |
| 1986 | R | 38.4% | 45.3% | 4,484,859 |
| 1982 | D | 62.2% | 28.5% | 4,967,729 |
| 1980 | D | 43.5% | 37.8% | 6,014,914 |
| 1976 | D | 48.6% | 37.9% | 6,666,875 |
Demographics
Anchored in the South Bronx, NY-15 has returned presidential margins above D+40 in recent cycles, reflecting a dense, majority-minority urban electorate where turnout patterns and candidate strength matter more than partisan competition.
The Democratic margin in New York 15th Congressional District reached its widest at eighty-three points in 2012. The margin in 2024 was forty-five points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $48,676, a 13% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 589,665 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 15, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3615/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.