Michigan 10th Congressional District (MI) — Elections 1876–2024

Michigan 10th Congressional District, Michigan: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 402,4822024 5-year
Median household income: $80,4022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 74.1%2024 5-year
Black: 12.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+45 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+54 in 1924MIT Election Lab

JAMES, JohnCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: MCCLAIN, Lisa C. (2021–2023), MITCHELL, Paul (2019–2021), MITCHELL, Paul (2019–2021), MITCHELL, Paul (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

2 counties · 1 D · 1 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−10.4%	102,664	127,128	234,624
2020	R	−5.1%	106,833	118,360	228,175
2016	R	−8.8%	84,161	101,249	194,200
2012	D	+4.5%	97,035	88,492	188,079
2008	D	+9.4%	104,273	86,006	193,762
2004	R	−1.2%	91,111	93,393	186,372
2000	D	+2.2%	80,185	76,574	160,811
1996	D	+9.2%	70,146	56,973	142,439
1992	R	−4.9%	60,797	68,708	161,690
1988	R	−21.8%	52,054	81,471	134,749
1984	R	−33.0%	45,069	89,829	135,560
1980	R	−12.5%	54,551	71,690	137,176
1976	R	−6.5%	54,945	62,697	119,917
1972	R	−28.0%	38,058	68,679	109,314
1968	D	+21.1%	51,915	31,502	96,716
1964	D	+45.3%	59,790	22,425	82,398
1960	D	+20.7%	47,606	31,266	79,122
1956	R	−0.6%	29,080	29,444	58,652
1952	R	−5.5%	17,555	19,612	37,338
1948	D	+4.9%	12,154	10,982	23,726
1944	D	+3.1%	11,606	10,905	22,677
1940	D	+6.0%	10,275	9,097	19,477
1936	D	+25.1%	8,644	4,957	14,673
1932	D	+24.2%	7,933	4,761	13,106
1928	R	−35.0%	3,340	6,955	10,342
1924	R	−53.5%	1,438	5,601	7,775
1920	R	−50.4%	1,465	4,662	6,347
1916	R	−16.7%	1,508	2,127	3,714
1912	D	+3.3%	1,276	1,165	3,368
1908	R	−17.5%	1,411	2,036	3,575
1904	R	−23.4%	1,351	2,203	3,648
1900	R	−9.6%	1,592	1,939	3,615
1896	R	−8.9%	1,568	1,892	3,624
1892	D	+10.4%	1,628	1,304	3,106
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	48.6%	48.3%	5,577,187
2020	D	49.9%	48.2%	5,479,720
2018	D	52.3%	45.8%	4,237,271
2014	D	54.6%	41.3%	3,121,771
2012	D	58.8%	38.0%	4,652,918
2008	D	62.7%	33.8%	4,848,620
2006	D	56.9%	41.3%	3,780,142
2002	D	60.6%	37.9%	3,129,287
2000	D	49.5%	47.9%	4,167,685
1996	D	58.4%	39.9%	3,762,575
1994	R	42.7%	51.9%	3,043,385
1990	D	57.5%	41.2%	2,560,494
1988	D	60.4%	38.5%	3,505,985
1984	D	51.8%	47.2%	3,700,938
1982	D	57.7%	40.9%	2,994,334
1978	D	52.1%	47.9%	2,846,630
1976	D	52.5%	46.8%	3,490,412

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

17.2%

Polish

12.1%

Irish

9.6%

Italian

9.5%

English

7.9%

American

3.4%

French

3.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.4%

2.2%

75–84

3.0%

5.1%

65–74

5.8%

7.0%

55–64

7.3%

6.4%

45–54

6.6%

6.2%

35–44

6.2%

7.0%

25–34

6.9%

4.0%

18–24

3.8%

7.9%

5–17

7.5%

2.7%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$80,402

Congressional District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 10$80,402

Michigan$72,875

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.1%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.0%

Working age (18–64)8.9%

Seniors (65+)10.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

84.3%

speak English only

Other Indo-European6.9%

Other languages4.6%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%

Spanish1.7%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

23.6%

Other Christian

4.3%

Mainline Protestant

3.9%

Non-Christian

3.1%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.6%

Baptist

1.4%

Methodist

0.7%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan's 10th congressional district, anchored in the Thumb region and rural northeastern Lower Peninsula, recorded a 33.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it among the state's most consistently one-sided federal constituencies.

The Democratic margin in Michigan 10th Congressional District has rarely exceeded forty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 74% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $80,402 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 10, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2610/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Michigan vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 10, Michigan voted Republican by 10.4 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 234,624 votes cast, 102,664 went Democratic and 127,128 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 10, Michigan's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Michigan as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 10, Michigan last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Congressional District 10, Michigan?

Congressional District 10, Michigan has a population of 402,482 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Michigan?

Median household income in Congressional District 10, Michigan is $80,402 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.

What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Michigan?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Michigan 10th Congressional District delivered R+10 in 2024.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions