Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Youngstown-Warren, OH
presidential margin
2008D+24.62012D+25.62016R+1.02020R+5.92024R+12.8
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+12.8
2024
median income$56,704U.S. $80,734 · OH $71,389
median age43.4U.S. 39.1 · OH 39.8
poverty rate17.8%U.S. 12.5% · OH 13.3%
bachelor’s+ (25+)24.1%U.S. 35.6% · OH 31.6%
non-english5.4%U.S. 22.3% · OH 8.0%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German16.4%
Italian13.7%
Irish12.7%
African American†10.2%
African0.4%
Jamaican0.2%
Puerto Rican2.7%
Mexican1.0%
Spanish0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline6.7%
Black Protestant4.9%
Orthodox0.9%
Muslim0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio

Akashic
Youngstown-Warren, OHTrumpR+12.8
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Youngstown-Warren, OH, OHA map of the constituent counties of Youngstown-Warren, OH, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Mahoning County, OH · R+9.4Trumbull County, OH · R+16.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican56.0%117,232
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.2%90,394
Chase OliverLibertarian0.8%1,611
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Youngstown-Warren, OH, OH — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Mahoning County, OHRepublicanR+9.4
Trumbull County, OHRepublicanR+16.8
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
43.2%Harris90,394
56.0%Trump117,232
0.8%Oliver1,611
−12.8%
209,237
R
46.4%Biden102,160
52.3%Trump115,097
1.2%Jorgensen2,710
−5.9%
219,967
R
46.6%Clinton100,395
47.7%Trump102,640
5.7%Stein12,301
−1.0%
215,336
D
61.5%Obama138,731
35.9%Romney80,920
2.6%Johnson5,873
+25.6%
225,524
D
61.0%Obama143,318
36.4%McCain85,483
2.6%Nader6,129
+24.6%
234,930
D
62.2%Kerry149,867
37.2%Bush89,738
0.6%Other1,444
+24.9%
241,049
D
60.3%Gore126,855
35.7%Bush75,114
4.0%Designated8,389
+24.6%
210,358
D
60.3%Clinton128,320
26.4%Dole56,208
13.3%Perot28,395
+33.9%
212,923
D
51.2%Clinton119,322
24.4%Bush57,022
24.4%Perot56,912
+26.7%
233,256
D
61.5%Dukakis134,198
37.8%Bush82,537
0.8%Fulani1,641
+23.7%
218,376
D
56.8%Mondale133,416
42.2%Reagan99,047
1.0%Serrette2,234
+14.6%
234,697
D
49.5%Carter108,043
41.8%Reagan91,209
8.7%Anderson18,911
+7.7%
218,163
D
59.5%Carter129,665
38.0%Ford82,783
2.5%McCarthy5,390
+21.5%
217,838
R
45.6%McGovern97,706
52.2%Nixon111,824
2.3%Schmitz4,824
−6.6%
214,354
D
52.7%Humphrey108,798
36.8%Nixon76,024
10.4%Wallace21,516
+15.9%
206,338
D
70.5%Johnson145,276
29.5%Goldwater60,834
0.0%
+41.0%
206,110
D
58.2%Kennedy129,071
41.8%Nixon92,651
0.0%
+16.4%
221,722
R
46.0%Stevenson92,039
54.0%Eisenhower107,928
0.0%
−7.9%
199,967
D
54.0%Stevenson106,784
46.0%Eisenhower90,957
0.0%
+8.0%
197,741
D
60.5%Truman99,565
38.1%Dewey62,662
1.4%Thurmond2,311
+22.4%
164,538
D
63.4%Roosevelt104,414
36.6%Dewey60,334
0.0%
+26.8%
164,748
D
64.0%Roosevelt111,056
36.0%Willkie62,522
0.0%
+28.0%
173,578
D
68.9%Roosevelt97,270
29.5%Landon41,712
1.6%Lemke2,205
+39.4%
141,187
R
42.9%Roosevelt51,010
52.8%Hoover62,742
4.2%Thomas5,022
−9.9%
118,774
R
31.4%Smith36,038
67.9%Hoover78,051
0.7%Thomas853
−36.6%
114,942
R
15.6%Davis13,342
70.3%Coolidge59,988
14.0%La Follette11,983
−54.7%
85,313
R
30.3%Cox21,756
65.5%Harding47,079
4.2%Debs2,994
−35.3%
71,829
D
49.9%Wilson19,104
45.5%Hughes17,423
4.6%Benson1,778
+4.4%
38,305
O
31.8%Wilson10,185
26.4%Taft8,472
41.8%Roosevelt13,421
Roosevelt +10.1
32,078
R
41.7%Bryan13,788
53.7%Taft17,738
4.6%Debs1,528
−12.0%
33,054
R
23.3%Parker6,546
63.2%Roosevelt17,787
13.6%Debs3,816
−39.9%
28,149
R
39.0%Bryan11,088
58.6%McKinley16,662
2.4%Woolley689
−19.6%
28,439
R
38.8%Bryan10,601
60.0%McKinley16,396
1.1%Palmer313
−21.2%
27,310
R
42.5%Cleveland9,575
51.6%Harrison11,625
5.9%Weaver1,338
−9.1%
22,538
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −12.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−12.8%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−9.1%
1896−21.2%
1900−19.6%
1904−39.9%
1908−12.0%
1912+5.3%
1916+4.4%
1920−35.3%
1924−54.7%
1928−36.6%
1932−9.9%
1936+39.4%
1940+28.0%
1944+26.8%
1948+22.4%
1952+8.0%
1956−7.9%
1960+16.4%
1964+41.0%
1968+15.9%
1972−6.6%
1976+21.5%
1980+7.7%
1984+14.6%
1988+23.7%
1992+26.7%
1996+33.9%
2000+24.6%
2004+24.9%
2008+24.6%
2012+25.6%
2016−1.0%
2020−5.9%
2024−12.8%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Youngstown-Warren, OHTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 300,778 in 2024.77.8K155.6K233.4K311.2K300.8K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Youngstown-Warren, OH
YearTotal registered
2016306,184
2018311,169
2020302,154
2022299,841
2024300,778
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Youngstown-Warren anchors the Mahoning Valley, a region that spent decades as a Democratic stronghold on the strength of steel-industry labor but has shifted markedly toward Republican margins in federal races since 2016.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.

A population of 427,420, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,704 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Canton-Massillon, OH and Cleveland, OH.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Canton-Massillon, OH
83.5twin score
population scaleelasticity% Latino≠ 2000 margin
Cleveland, OH
79.4twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Sandusky, OH
78.2twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory≠ 2000 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Youngstown-Warren, OH

counties2
Mahoning CountyTrumbull County

Frequently asked questions

How did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 12.8 points (R+12.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 209,237 votes cast, 90,394 went Democratic and 117,232 went Republican.
When did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio has a population of 427,420 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio is $56,704 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.