Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Warren, PA
presidential margin
2008R+6.22012R+17.42016R+39.42020R+39.62024R+39.2
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+39.2
2024
median income$60,480U.S. $80,734 · PA $77,971
median age47.1U.S. 39.1 · PA 41.2
poverty rate10.8%U.S. 12.5% · PA 11.7%
bachelor’s+ (25+)19.9%U.S. 35.6% · PA 35.2%
non-english2.9%U.S. 22.3% · PA 12.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German22.7%
Irish13.4%
English13.4%
Mexican0.4%
Puerto Rican0.2%
religion
other traditions
Black Protestant1.8%
Other Christian0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Warren, PA, Pennsylvania

Akashic
Warren, PATrumpR+39.2
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Warren, PA, PAA map of the single county of Warren, PA, PA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Warren County, PA · R+39.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican69.2%14,345
Kamala HarrisDemocratic30.0%6,212
Jill SteinGreen0.8%166
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Warren, PA, PA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Warren County, PARepublicanR+39.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
30.0%Harris6,212
69.2%Trump14,345
0.8%Stein166
−39.2%
20,723
R
29.4%Biden6,066
68.9%Trump14,237
1.7%Jorgensen347
−39.6%
20,650
R
27.7%Clinton5,145
67.1%Trump12,477
5.3%Johnson984
−39.4%
18,606
R
40.4%Obama6,995
57.9%Romney10,010
1.7%Johnson294
−17.4%
17,299
R
46.1%Obama8,537
52.3%McCain9,685
1.6%Nader295
−6.2%
18,517
R
41.7%Kerry8,044
57.1%Bush10,999
1.2%Badnarik230
−15.3%
19,273
R
42.9%Gore7,537
52.9%Bush9,290
4.1%Nader725
−10.0%
17,552
D
42.7%Clinton7,291
41.3%Dole7,056
15.9%Perot2,720
+1.4%
17,067
D
37.8%Clinton6,972
35.7%Bush6,585
26.4%Perot4,869
+2.1%
18,426
R
42.5%Dukakis6,790
56.2%Bush8,991
1.3%McCarthy214
−13.8%
15,995
R
36.3%Mondale6,244
62.9%Reagan10,838
0.8%Johnson139
−26.7%
17,221
R
34.8%Carter5,560
57.4%Reagan9,165
7.8%Anderson1,249
−22.6%
15,974
R
45.8%Carter7,412
52.6%Ford8,508
1.5%McCarthy250
−6.8%
16,170
R
32.2%McGovern4,877
66.1%Nixon10,018
1.8%Schmitz272
−33.9%
15,167
R
39.9%Humphrey6,368
55.7%Nixon8,889
4.5%Wallace711
−15.8%
15,968
D
63.6%Johnson10,598
35.8%Goldwater5,965
0.6%Hass94
+27.8%
16,657
R
35.9%Kennedy6,525
63.8%Nixon11,611
0.3%Byrd59
−28.0%
18,195
R
26.8%Stevenson4,463
72.9%Eisenhower12,145
0.3%Andrews43
−46.1%
16,651
R
27.5%Stevenson4,442
71.5%Eisenhower11,555
0.9%Hallinan153
−44.0%
16,150
R
32.0%Truman4,103
65.4%Dewey8,378
2.6%Thurmond333
−33.4%
12,814
R
32.1%Roosevelt4,440
67.0%Dewey9,276
1.0%Thomas137
−34.9%
13,853
R
34.4%Roosevelt5,825
65.0%Willkie11,016
0.6%Thomas101
−30.6%
16,942
R
45.3%Roosevelt8,495
50.3%Landon9,440
4.4%Lemke832
−5.0%
18,767
R
38.2%Roosevelt5,254
57.2%Hoover7,872
4.6%Thomas627
−19.0%
13,753
R
18.8%Smith2,835
80.2%Hoover12,077
1.0%Thomas144
−61.4%
15,056
R
18.0%Davis2,161
70.9%Coolidge8,502
11.0%La Follette1,323
−52.9%
11,986
R
18.2%Cox2,180
65.1%Harding7,791
16.7%Debs2,003
−46.9%
11,974
R
36.8%Wilson2,628
47.8%Hughes3,413
15.4%Benson1,100
−11.0%
7,141
O
23.2%Wilson1,686
21.5%Taft1,564
55.2%Roosevelt4,008
Roosevelt +32.0
7,258
R
27.3%Bryan2,054
62.0%Taft4,672
10.7%Debs806
−34.8%
7,532
R
17.7%Parker1,222
68.6%Roosevelt4,737
13.7%Debs949
−50.9%
6,908
R
28.9%Bryan2,500
64.9%McKinley5,609
6.2%Woolley536
−36.0%
8,645
R
36.9%Bryan3,048
58.7%McKinley4,846
4.4%Palmer361
−21.8%
8,255
R
37.0%Cleveland2,735
51.9%Harrison3,838
11.1%Weaver821
−14.9%
7,394
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −39.2% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−39.2%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−14.9%
1896−21.8%
1900−36.0%
1904−50.9%
1908−34.8%
1912+1.7%
1916−11.0%
1920−46.9%
1924−52.9%
1928−61.4%
1932−19.0%
1936−5.0%
1940−30.6%
1944−34.9%
1948−33.4%
1952−44.0%
1956−46.1%
1960−28.0%
1964+27.8%
1968−15.8%
1972−33.9%
1976−6.8%
1980−22.6%
1984−26.7%
1988−13.8%
1992+2.1%
1996+1.4%
2000−10.0%
2004−15.3%
2008−6.2%
2012−17.4%
2016−39.4%
2020−39.6%
2024−39.2%
DemocraticRepublican

Warren County anchors a small metro that has trended toward Republican presidential margins since 2008, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class white voters across Pennsylvania's northwest corridor.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 39.2 points.

A population of 37,920, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,480 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Meadville, PA and DuBois, PA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Meadville, PA
86.1twin score
% White12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
DuBois, PA
84.3twin score
12-yr trend% Whitemedian age≠ Scottish ancestry
Olean, NY
83.6twin score
12-yr trend% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ Polish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warren, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Places within Warren, PA

counties1
Warren County

Frequently asked questions

How did Warren, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 39.2 points (R+39.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,723 votes cast, 6,212 went Democratic and 14,345 went Republican.
When did Warren, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Warren, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 37,920 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania is $60,480 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.