- Lead
- 2,829
- Total
- 145,603
- vs nation
- R+0.5
Rockford, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 146
- Total
- 154,318
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Lead
- 3,207
- Total
- 143,056
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Lead
- 5,381
- Total
- 140,838
- vs nation
- Even
- Lead
- 17,078
- Total
- 148,188
- vs nation
- D+4.3
- Lead
- 3,888
- Total
- 140,966
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Lead
- 3,971
- Total
- 124,820
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Lead
- 949
- Total
- 112,919
- vs nation
- R+7.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 336,5222024 5-year
- Population density
- 424 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 794 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,8002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.5 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN · twin score 85.7
presidential history
Party record book
Rockford, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
54.9%
81,367 votes · D+11.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 53.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
81.2%
25,299 votes · R+68.8
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 80.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
81,367votes
54.9% of the vote · D+11.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 74,598 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
74,744votes
48.4% of the vote · R+0.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 72,930 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+4.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.5 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 0.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+49.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.7 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +47.4 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.1%36,266 | 70.9%88,350 | 124,616 |
| 2020 | R | 44.0%65,844 | 56.0%83,937 | 149,781 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 127,100 |
| 2018 | 133,232 |
| 2020 | 126,625 |
| 2022 | 144,838 |
| 2024 | 150,926 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+181 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −29,660 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3,010 |
| 2012 | −3,520 |
| 2013 | −2,386 |
| 2014 | −3,576 |
| 2015 | −2,944 |
| 2016 | −2,470 |
| 2017 | −2,826 |
| 2018 | −1,994 |
| 2019 | −1,991 |
| 2021 | −1,749 |
| 2022 | −2,151 |
| 2023 | −1,094 |
| 2024 | −130 |
| 2025 | +181 |
Rockford's Winnebago County shifted from reliably Democratic to genuine battleground territory as deindustrialization reshaped its working-class electorate, making it one of Illinois's few metro areas that statewide candidates treat as persuadable.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.5 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 68.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.9 points.
A population of 336,522, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,800 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN and Racine-Mount Pleasant, WI.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Rockford, IL, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/40420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.