HarrisDemocratic29.2%2,726TrumpRepublican69.6%6,498OliverLibertarian0.7%63
R+40.4- Lead
- 3,772
- Total
- 9,330
- vs nation
- R+39.0
Akashicmetro area
Marshall, MO
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic30.5%2,904TrumpRepublican67.7%6,451OtherAll other candidates1.9%178
R+37.2- Lead
- 3,547
- Total
- 9,533
- vs nation
- R+41.7
ClintonDemocratic30.1%2,789TrumpRepublican64.4%5,977OtherAll other candidates5.5%508
R+34.4- Lead
- 3,188
- Total
- 9,274
- vs nation
- R+36.5
ObamaDemocratic41.6%3,790RomneyRepublican56.0%5,104OtherAll other candidates2.3%214
R+14.4- Lead
- 1,314
- Total
- 9,108
- vs nation
- R+18.3
ObamaDemocratic47.8%4,712McCainRepublican50.4%4,962OtherAll other candidates1.8%174
R+2.5- Lead
- 250
- Total
- 9,848
- vs nation
- R+9.8
KerryDemocratic45.1%4,479BushRepublican54.2%5,389OtherAll other candidates0.7%71
R+9.2- Lead
- 910
- Total
- 9,939
- vs nation
- R+6.7
GoreDemocratic49.0%4,585BushRepublican48.9%4,572OtherAll other candidates2.1%198
D+0.1- Lead
- 13
- Total
- 9,355
- vs nation
- R+0.4
ClintonDemocratic53.8%4,765DoleRepublican33.1%2,931OtherAll other candidates13.1%1,158
D+20.7- Lead
- 1,834
- Total
- 8,854
- vs nation
- D+12.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,2312024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 756 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,9312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Centralia, IL · twin score 80.5
presidential history
Party record book
Marshall, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
68.5%
8,389 votes · D+37.6
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 66.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69.6%
6,498 votes · R+40.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 67.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
8,622votes
58.4% of the vote · D+17.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 8,389 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
7,336votes
47.8% of the vote · D+4.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 6,926 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+38.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.0 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +37.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+41.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +39.0 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,004 |
| 2018 | 13,501 |
| 2020 | 14,061 |
| 2022 | 13,561 |
| 2024 | 13,517 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−20 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,501 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −130 |
| 2012 | +48 |
| 2013 | −261 |
| 2014 | +6 |
| 2015 | −268 |
| 2016 | −169 |
| 2017 | −217 |
| 2018 | −61 |
| 2019 | −174 |
| 2021 | −16 |
| 2022 | −234 |
| 2023 | +59 |
| 2024 | −64 |
| 2025 | −20 |
Marshall anchors Saline County, a historically Democratic river-bottom county that has shifted sharply Republican over the past two decades, mirroring the broader realignment across rural Missouri's agricultural interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 40.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.4 points.
A population of 23,231, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,931 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Centralia, IL and Farmington, MO.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Centralia, IL
80.5twin score
12-yr trend2000–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Farmington, MO
73.0twin score
12-yr trend2000–2020 trajectorymedian income≠ French ancestry
Mexico, MO
72.6twin score
population scale12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Marshall, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Marshall, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Marshall, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 40.4 points (R+40.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,330 votes cast, 2,726 went Democratic and 6,498 went Republican.
When did Marshall, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Marshall, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Marshall, MO, Missouri?
Marshall, MO, Missouri has a population of 23,231 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marshall, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Marshall, MO, Missouri is $57,931 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Marshall, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Marshall, MO, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.