- Lead
- 8,131
- Total
- 44,328
- vs nation
- R+16.9
Key West-Key Largo, FL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 3,812
- Total
- 48,029
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Lead
- 2,933
- Total
- 42,478
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Lead
- 170
- Total
- 39,057
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Lead
- 1,974
- Total
- 40,272
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 187
- Total
- 39,535
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Lead
- 424
- Total
- 33,895
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Lead
- 3,175
- Total
- 32,544
- vs nation
- D+1.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 81,8602024 5-year
- Population density
- 83 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 983 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,7382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.0 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Taos, NM · twin score 74.8
presidential history
Party record book
Key West-Key Largo, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
91.0%
767 votes · D+91.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 90.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.2%
11,688 votes · R+44.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 67.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
21,881votes
45.6% of the vote · R+7.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 20,907 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,064votes
58.8% of the vote · R+18.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,693 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+89.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+91.0 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +71.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+21.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.6 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · +17.3 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.9 points.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 55,452 | 17,797 | 21,520 | 15,692 | 443 |
| 2018 | 53,818 | 17,511 | 21,169 | 14,468 | 670 |
| 2019 | 53,462 | 17,413 | 21,213 | 13,988 | 848 |
| 2020 | 58,134 | 18,927 | 23,972 | 14,073 | 1,162 |
| 2021 | 57,945 | 18,165 | 23,901 | 14,610 | 1,269 |
| 2023 | 51,706 | 14,961 | 23,281 | 12,064 | 1,400 |
| 2024 | 52,945 | 15,017 | 23,703 | 12,419 | 1,806 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,931 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −8,586 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +411 |
| 2012 | +165 |
| 2013 | +764 |
| 2014 | +8 |
| 2015 | −10 |
| 2016 | −183 |
| 2017 | −790 |
| 2018 | −1,991 |
| 2019 | −750 |
| 2021 | −592 |
| 2022 | −749 |
| 2023 | −1,504 |
| 2024 | −1,434 |
| 2025 | −1,931 |
Monroe County's economy runs almost entirely on hospitality and marine industries, drawing a transient workforce and retiree mix that produces competitive margins in federal races despite Florida's broader statewide trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.0 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 44.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.3 points.
A population of 81,860, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,738 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Taos, NM and Santa Fe, NM.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/28580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.