- Lead
- 10,849
- Total
- 46,830
- vs nation
- R+21.7
Grand Forks, ND-MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 8,533
- Total
- 46,564
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Lead
- 9,756
- Total
- 45,161
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Lead
- 1,870
- Total
- 44,722
- vs nation
- R+8.0
- Lead
- 2,286
- Total
- 46,487
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 6,647
- Total
- 46,138
- vs nation
- R+11.9
- Lead
- 7,127
- Total
- 42,525
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Lead
- 576
- Total
- 39,423
- vs nation
- R+7.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 103,6282024 5-year
- Population density
- 30 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,407 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,5662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fargo, ND-MN · twin score 88.1
presidential history
Party record book
Grand Forks, ND-MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
68.6%
20,559 votes · D+41.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 63.6%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
72.3%
6,356 votes · R+55.0
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 71.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
23,954votes
51.5% of the vote · D+4.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 21,792 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,285votes
60.4% of the vote · R+23.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 26,852 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+19.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.4 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +17.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+35.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.0 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +24.4 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−87 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −7,635 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,166 |
| 2012 | +92 |
| 2013 | +916 |
| 2014 | −270 |
| 2015 | −394 |
| 2016 | −538 |
| 2017 | −973 |
| 2018 | −978 |
| 2019 | −1,577 |
| 2021 | −1,334 |
| 2022 | −1,021 |
| 2023 | −38 |
| 2024 | −267 |
| 2025 | −87 |
Home to the University of North Dakota, Grand Forks trends more competitive than its surrounding region, with the student and faculty population tempering the broader rural Republican lean that dominates both the North Dakota and Minnesota sides of the metro.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 55.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.2 points.
A population of 103,628, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,566 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fargo, ND-MN and Brookings, SD.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/24220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.