HarrisDemocratic25.1%21,312TrumpRepublican72.8%61,825OtherAll other candidates2.0%1,732
R+47.7- Lead
- 40,513
- Total
- 84,869
- vs nation
- R+46.3
Akashicmetro area
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic26.0%22,481TrumpRepublican71.5%61,918OtherAll other candidates2.6%2,218
R+45.5- Lead
- 39,437
- Total
- 86,617
- vs nation
- R+50.0
ClintonDemocratic25.0%19,849TrumpRepublican71.5%56,701OtherAll other candidates3.4%2,699
R+46.5- Lead
- 36,852
- Total
- 79,249
- vs nation
- R+48.6
ObamaDemocratic28.5%22,166RomneyRepublican69.3%53,892OtherAll other candidates2.1%1,666
R+40.8- Lead
- 31,726
- Total
- 77,724
- vs nation
- R+44.7
ObamaDemocratic30.1%23,365McCainRepublican68.0%52,791OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,508
R+37.9- Lead
- 29,426
- Total
- 77,664
- vs nation
- R+45.2
KerryDemocratic36.7%29,153BushRepublican62.4%49,559OtherAll other candidates0.9%675
R+25.7- Lead
- 20,406
- Total
- 79,387
- vs nation
- R+23.2
GoreDemocratic38.9%27,268BushRepublican58.4%40,901OtherAll other candidates2.7%1,869
R+19.5- Lead
- 13,633
- Total
- 70,038
- vs nation
- R+20.0
ClintonDemocratic44.1%27,928DoleRepublican44.9%28,397OtherAll other candidates11.0%6,959
R+0.7- Lead
- 469
- Total
- 63,284
- vs nation
- R+9.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 229,8992024 5-year
- Population density
- 128 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,800 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,3152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Searcy, AR · twin score 94.9
presidential history
Party record book
Fort Smith, AR-OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
75.8%
12,603 votes · D+52.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 70.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
79.4%
39,035 votes · R+59.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 72.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
29,318votes
42.3% of the vote · D+1.0
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 29,153 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
61,918votes
71.5% of the vote · R+45.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61,825 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+39.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.2 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +37.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+50.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +48.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+34.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+47.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (partial) | 24,791 | 5,857 | 14,467 | 4,300 | 167 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+832 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,166 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +41 |
| 2012 | −678 |
| 2013 | −1,497 |
| 2014 | −1,038 |
| 2015 | −118 |
| 2016 | −206 |
| 2017 | +324 |
| 2018 | −345 |
| 2019 | −424 |
| 2021 | +1,151 |
| 2022 | +1,854 |
| 2023 | +972 |
| 2024 | +1,298 |
| 2025 | +832 |
Fort Smith's metro spans the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, anchoring a manufacturing and logistics corridor where cross-state commuting patterns complicate standard district-level turnout analysis.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.7 points.
A population of 229,899, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,315 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Searcy, AR and Russellville, AR.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Searcy, AR
94.9twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
Russellville, AR
93.9twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Shawnee, OK
91.7twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/22900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Fort Smith, AR-OK
Frequently asked questions
How did Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas voted Republican by 47.7 points (R+47.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 84,869 votes cast, 21,312 went Democratic and 61,825 went Republican.
When did Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas?
Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas has a population of 229,899 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas?
Median household income in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas is $58,315 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.