Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Fort Smith, AR-OK
presidential margin
2008R+37.92012R+40.82016R+46.52020R+45.52024R+47.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+47.7
2024
median income$58,315U.S. $80,734 · AR $60,773
median age38.8U.S. 39.1
poverty rate16.4%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)21.0%U.S. 35.6%
non-english11.8%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English11.3%
German10.8%
Irish10.7%
Mexican7.8%
Salvadoran2.1%
Guatemalan0.6%
Cherokee0.2%
African American†3.1%
African0.3%
Vietnamese1.0%
Laotian0.9%
Filipino0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.4%
Latter-day Saints1.7%
Black Protestant1.1%
Other Christian0.8%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas

Akashic
Fort Smith, AR-OKTrumpR+47.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Fort Smith, AR-OK, ARA map of the constituent counties of Fort Smith, AR-OK, AR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Crawford County, AR · R+58.2Sebastian County, AR · R+37.5Sequoyah County, OK · R+61.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican72.8%61,825
Kamala HarrisDemocratic25.1%21,312
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other2.0%1,732
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Fort Smith, AR-OK, AR — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Crawford County, ARRepublicanR+58.2
Sebastian County, ARRepublicanR+37.5
Sequoyah County, OKRepublicanR+61.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
25.1%Harris21,312
72.8%Trump61,825
2.0%Kennedy1,732
−47.7%
84,869
R
26.0%Biden22,481
71.5%Trump61,918
2.6%Jorgensen2,218
−45.5%
86,617
R
25.0%Clinton19,849
71.5%Trump56,701
3.4%Johnson2,699
−46.5%
79,249
R
28.5%Obama22,166
69.3%Romney53,892
2.1%Johnson1,666
−40.8%
77,724
R
30.1%Obama23,365
68.0%McCain52,791
1.9%Nader1,508
−37.9%
77,664
R
36.7%Kerry29,153
62.4%Bush49,559
0.9%Nader675
−25.7%
79,387
R
38.9%Gore27,268
58.4%Bush40,901
2.7%Nader1,869
−19.5%
70,038
R
44.1%Clinton27,928
44.9%Dole28,397
11.0%Perot6,959
−0.7%
63,284
D
42.3%Clinton29,318
41.3%Bush28,624
16.5%Perot11,438
+1.0%
69,380
R
31.4%Dukakis18,217
67.6%Bush39,228
0.9%Dodge548
−36.2%
57,993
R
26.2%Mondale15,961
72.7%Reagan44,188
1.1%Bergland669
−46.4%
60,818
R
31.3%Carter19,072
62.2%Reagan37,932
6.6%Anderson4,020
−30.9%
61,024
D
51.0%Carter27,587
48.8%Ford26,373
0.2%Maddox107
+2.2%
54,067
R
20.0%McGovern9,809
79.4%Nixon39,035
0.7%Schmitz320
−59.4%
49,164
R
25.1%Humphrey10,516
42.1%Nixon17,593
32.8%Wallace13,724
−16.9%
41,833
R
48.4%Johnson18,140
51.3%Goldwater19,250
0.3%Hass105
−3.0%
37,495
R
42.2%Kennedy14,098
56.8%Nixon18,979
1.0%Byrd330
−14.6%
33,407
R
45.0%Stevenson13,772
54.5%Eisenhower16,654
0.5%Andrews148
−9.4%
30,574
R
46.9%Stevenson14,351
52.9%Eisenhower16,184
0.1%Hallinan38
−6.0%
30,573
D
61.4%Truman11,254
32.8%Dewey6,007
5.8%Thurmond1,065
+28.6%
18,326
D
60.0%Roosevelt11,281
39.8%Dewey7,486
0.2%Thomas34
+20.2%
18,801
D
63.3%Roosevelt11,299
36.2%Willkie6,462
0.5%Thomas84
+27.1%
17,845
D
70.6%Roosevelt10,783
29.2%Landon4,467
0.2%Lemke32
+41.3%
15,282
D
75.8%Roosevelt12,603
23.5%Hoover3,910
0.6%Thomas108
+52.3%
16,621
R
47.7%Smith7,621
52.1%Hoover8,320
0.2%Thomas33
−4.4%
15,974
D
52.5%Davis8,022
38.3%Coolidge5,856
9.2%La Follette1,398
+14.2%
15,276
D
48.9%Cox8,218
48.7%Harding8,184
2.4%Debs395
+0.2%
16,797
D
62.0%Wilson6,973
33.3%Hughes3,740
4.7%Benson527
+28.8%
11,240
D
54.8%Wilson4,781
23.4%Taft2,036
21.8%Roosevelt1,902
+31.5%
8,719
D
50.2%Bryan6,344
43.0%Taft5,426
6.8%Debs862
+7.3%
12,632
D
48.8%Parker2,520
42.5%Roosevelt2,195
8.8%Debs454
+6.3%
5,169
D
63.0%Bryan3,543
36.0%McKinley2,024
1.0%Woolley59
+27.0%
5,626
D
65.5%Bryan4,492
33.8%McKinley2,320
0.7%Palmer47
+31.7%
6,859
D
56.6%Cleveland4,237
35.5%Harrison2,657
7.8%Weaver587
+21.1%
7,481
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −47.7% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−47.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+21.1%
1896+31.7%
1900+27.0%
1904+6.3%
1908+7.3%
1912+31.5%
1916+28.8%
1920+0.2%
1924+14.2%
1928−4.4%
1932+52.3%
1936+41.3%
1940+27.1%
1944+20.2%
1948+28.6%
1952−6.0%
1956−9.4%
1960−14.6%
1964−3.0%
1968−16.9%
1972−59.4%
1976+2.2%
1980−30.9%
1984−46.4%
1988−36.2%
1992+1.0%
1996−0.7%
2000−19.5%
2004−25.7%
2008−37.9%
2012−40.8%
2016−46.5%
2020−45.5%
2024−47.7%
DemocraticRepublican

Fort Smith's metro spans the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, anchoring a manufacturing and logistics corridor where cross-state commuting patterns complicate standard district-level turnout analysis.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.7 points.

A population of 229,899, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,315 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Searcy, AR and Russellville, AR.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Searcy, AR
94.9twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
Russellville, AR
93.9twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Shawnee, OK
91.7twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/22900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Fort Smith, AR-OK

counties3
Crawford CountySebastian CountySequoyah County

Frequently asked questions

How did Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas voted Republican by 47.7 points (R+47.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 84,869 votes cast, 21,312 went Democratic and 61,825 went Republican.
When did Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas?
Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas has a population of 229,899 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas?
Median household income in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas is $58,315 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fort Smith, AR-OK, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.