HarrisDemocratic17.4%3,236TrumpRepublican81.1%15,092OtherAll other candidates1.6%292
R+63.7- Lead
- 11,856
- Total
- 18,620
- vs nation
- R+62.2
Akashicmetro area
Duncan, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic16.6%3,154TrumpRepublican81.6%15,560OtherAll other candidates1.8%343
R+65.1- Lead
- 12,406
- Total
- 19,057
- vs nation
- R+69.6
ClintonDemocratic17.2%3,086TrumpRepublican79.2%14,182OtherAll other candidates3.6%636
R+62.0- Lead
- 11,096
- Total
- 17,904
- vs nation
- R+64.1
ObamaDemocratic23.4%3,939RomneyRepublican76.6%12,908OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+53.2- Lead
- 8,969
- Total
- 16,847
- vs nation
- R+57.1
ObamaDemocratic24.0%4,538McCainRepublican76.0%14,394OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+52.1- Lead
- 9,856
- Total
- 18,932
- vs nation
- R+59.3
KerryDemocratic28.8%5,515BushRepublican71.2%13,646OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+42.4- Lead
- 8,131
- Total
- 19,161
- vs nation
- R+40.0
GoreDemocratic37.0%6,467BushRepublican62.1%10,860OtherAll other candidates0.9%161
R+25.1- Lead
- 4,393
- Total
- 17,488
- vs nation
- R+25.6
ClintonDemocratic40.8%7,248DoleRepublican45.8%8,144OtherAll other candidates13.4%2,384
R+5.0- Lead
- 896
- Total
- 17,776
- vs nation
- R+13.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,5512024 5-year
- Population density
- 50 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 870 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,6202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cleveland, TN · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
Duncan, OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
88.4%
7,706 votes · D+76.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 79.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2020
81.6%
15,560 votes · R+65.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 81.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
9,795votes
57.5% of the vote · D+15.8
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 9,272 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
15,560votes
81.6% of the vote · R+65.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 15,092 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+59.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+76.8 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +56.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+69.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +64.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 17.3%3,230 | 82.7%15,394 | 18,624 |
| 2020 | R | 15.5%2,868 | 84.5%15,595 | 18,463 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+48.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+63.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 15 points more Republican than the rolls.
27,924 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+143 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +150 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +19 |
| 2012 | −232 |
| 2013 | +138 |
| 2014 | −465 |
| 2015 | +49 |
| 2016 | −608 |
| 2017 | −646 |
| 2018 | −122 |
| 2019 | +25 |
| 2021 | +561 |
| 2022 | +682 |
| 2023 | +504 |
| 2024 | +102 |
| 2025 | +143 |
Duncan anchors a small southwest Oklahoma metro where the petroleum industry has long defined both the economy and a reliably conservative voting pattern, with Republicans routinely carrying Stephens County by margins exceeding 40 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 65.1 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.7 points.
A population of 43,551, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,620 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cleveland, TN and Shawnee, OK.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cleveland, TN
96.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Shawnee, OK
96.0twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory
Searcy, AR
96.0twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duncan, OK, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Duncan, OK, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duncan, OK, Oklahoma voted Republican by 63.7 points (R+63.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,620 votes cast, 3,236 went Democratic and 15,092 went Republican.
When did Duncan, OK, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Duncan, OK, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma?
Duncan, OK, Oklahoma has a population of 43,551 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma is $61,620 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Duncan, OK, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.