Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Duncan, OK
presidential margin
2008R+52.12012R+53.22016R+62.02020R+65.12024R+63.7
full record · 1908 → 2024
R+63.7
2024
median income$61,620U.S. $80,734 · OK $65,039
median age41.0U.S. 39.1 · OK 37.1
poverty rate18.0%U.S. 12.5% · OK 15.4%
bachelor’s+ (25+)20.6%U.S. 35.6% · OK 28.5%
non-english4.9%U.S. 22.3% · OK 11.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English13.3%
Irish11.8%
German9.8%
Mexican6.9%
Puerto Rican0.4%
Spaniard0.4%
Chickasaw0.2%
African American†1.0%
African0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.1%
Latter-day Saints0.9%
Black Protestant0.7%
Other Christian0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Duncan, OK, Oklahoma

Akashic
Duncan, OKTrumpR+63.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Duncan, OK, OKA map of the single county of Duncan, OK, OK, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Stephens County, OK · R+63.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican81.1%15,092
Kamala HarrisDemocratic17.4%3,236
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.6%292
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Duncan, OK, OK — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Stephens County, OKRepublicanR+63.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
17.4%Harris3,236
81.1%Trump15,092
1.6%Kennedy292
−63.7%
18,620
R
16.6%Biden3,154
81.6%Trump15,560
1.8%Jorgensen343
−65.1%
19,057
R
17.2%Clinton3,086
79.2%Trump14,182
3.6%Johnson636
−62.0%
17,904
R
23.4%Obama3,939
76.6%Romney12,908
0.0%
−53.2%
16,847
R
24.0%Obama4,538
76.0%McCain14,394
0.0%
−52.1%
18,932
R
28.8%Kerry5,515
71.2%Bush13,646
0.0%
−42.4%
19,161
R
37.0%Gore6,467
62.1%Bush10,860
0.9%Buchanan161
−25.1%
17,488
R
40.8%Clinton7,248
45.8%Dole8,144
13.4%Perot2,384
−5.0%
17,776
D
37.3%Clinton7,644
34.6%Bush7,085
28.0%Perot5,742
+2.7%
20,471
R
44.0%Dukakis7,833
55.3%Bush9,844
0.7%Paul118
−11.3%
17,795
R
32.9%Mondale6,359
66.6%Reagan12,871
0.5%Bergland103
−33.7%
19,333
R
40.3%Carter7,191
57.1%Reagan10,199
2.6%Anderson462
−16.8%
17,852
D
57.5%Carter9,795
41.7%Ford7,099
0.7%McCarthy126
+15.8%
17,020
R
25.2%McGovern3,623
71.6%Nixon10,309
3.2%Schmitz464
−46.4%
14,396
R
36.6%Humphrey5,249
38.5%Nixon5,508
24.9%Wallace3,566
−1.8%
14,323
D
63.5%Johnson9,272
36.5%Goldwater5,323
0.0%
+27.1%
14,595
R
46.0%Kennedy6,899
54.0%Nixon8,084
0.0%
−7.9%
14,983
D
54.3%Stevenson7,524
45.7%Eisenhower6,324
0.0%
+8.7%
13,848
D
55.4%Stevenson8,029
44.6%Eisenhower6,461
0.0%
+10.8%
14,490
D
77.8%Truman6,702
22.2%Dewey1,909
0.0%
+55.7%
8,611
D
69.0%Roosevelt6,189
30.8%Dewey2,766
0.2%Thomas19
+38.1%
8,974
D
67.0%Roosevelt6,149
32.6%Willkie2,989
0.4%Thomas34
+34.5%
9,172
D
79.2%Roosevelt6,390
20.3%Landon1,636
0.6%Lemke45
+58.9%
8,071
D
88.4%Roosevelt7,706
11.6%Hoover1,012
0.0%
+76.8%
8,718
R
36.0%Smith2,982
62.7%Hoover5,192
1.3%Thomas105
−26.7%
8,279
D
63.0%Davis4,745
31.6%Coolidge2,377
5.5%La Follette412
+31.4%
7,534
D
54.2%Cox2,816
39.2%Harding2,035
6.7%Debs346
+15.0%
5,197
D
57.9%Wilson2,343
15.0%Hughes607
27.1%Benson1,098
+42.9%
4,048
D
53.4%Wilson1,735
18.4%Taft598
28.2%Roosevelt915
+35.0%
3,248
D
56.4%Bryan1,761
23.2%Taft725
20.4%Debs638
+33.2%
3,124
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1908 to 2024. Most recent: −63.7% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−63.7%DR19082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1908+33.2%
1912+35.0%
1916+42.9%
1920+15.0%
1924+31.4%
1928−26.7%
1932+76.8%
1936+58.9%
1940+34.5%
1944+38.1%
1948+55.7%
1952+10.8%
1956+8.7%
1960−7.9%
1964+27.1%
1968−1.8%
1972−46.4%
1976+15.8%
1980−16.8%
1984−33.7%
1988−11.3%
1992+2.7%
1996−5.0%
2000−25.1%
2004−42.4%
2008−52.1%
2012−53.2%
2016−62.0%
2020−65.1%
2024−63.7%
DemocraticRepublican

Duncan anchors a small southwest Oklahoma metro where the petroleum industry has long defined both the economy and a reliably conservative voting pattern, with Republicans routinely carrying Stephens County by margins exceeding 40 points.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 65.1 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.7 points.

A population of 43,551, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,620 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cleveland, TN and Shawnee, OK.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Cleveland, TN
96.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Shawnee, OK
96.0twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory
Searcy, AR
96.0twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duncan, OK, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Duncan, OK

counties1
Stephens County

Frequently asked questions

How did Duncan, OK, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duncan, OK, Oklahoma voted Republican by 63.7 points (R+63.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,620 votes cast, 3,236 went Democratic and 15,092 went Republican.
When did Duncan, OK, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Duncan, OK, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma?
Duncan, OK, Oklahoma has a population of 43,551 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma is $61,620 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Duncan, OK, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duncan, OK, Oklahoma from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.