- Lead
- 12,615
- Total
- 53,448
- vs nation
- R+22.1
West Virginia 16th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,225
- Total
- 50,137
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Lead
- 10,350
- Total
- 43,473
- vs nation
- R+25.9
- Lead
- 4,003
- Total
- 38,489
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Lead
- 735
- Total
- 39,086
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Lead
- 4,934
- Total
- 34,829
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Lead
- 2,072
- Total
- 24,422
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Lead
- 566
- Total
- 22,100
- vs nation
- R+6.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 110,2232024 5-year
- Population density
- 345 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 320 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,6972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 2, WV · twin score 89.7
presidential history
Party record book
West Virginia 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.2%
8,771 votes · D+34.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 65.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.6%
9,564 votes · R+33.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 62.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
19,954votes
39.8% of the vote · R+18.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 19,810 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
32,425votes
60.7% of the vote · R+23.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 29,179 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+44.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +40.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+25.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.8 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +22.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 23.6-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, this district reflects the deep realignment of rural West Virginia away from its historically Democratic roots, driven by shifts in coal-country culture and economics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 33.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.6 points.
A population of 110,223, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,697 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 2 and State Senate District 15.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
West Virginia 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/54016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.