- Lead
- 23,707
- Total
- 51,625
- vs nation
- R+44.4
West Virginia 15th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,407
- Total
- 47,882
- vs nation
- R+47.1
- Lead
- 18,530
- Total
- 40,815
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Lead
- 10,112
- Total
- 36,144
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Lead
- 6,971
- Total
- 36,596
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Lead
- 10,626
- Total
- 33,792
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Lead
- 6,445
- Total
- 24,835
- vs nation
- R+26.5
- Lead
- 2,179
- Total
- 22,405
- vs nation
- R+18.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 109,6032024 5-year
- Population density
- 101 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,080 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,5412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.4 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 27, IN · twin score 95.1
presidential history
Party record book
West Virginia 15th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
65.2%
3,152 votes · D+30.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.1%
37,201 votes · R+45.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
14,498votes
39.6% of the vote · R+19.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 13,494 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
37,201votes
72.1% of the vote · R+45.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 33,703 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+27.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +26.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+47.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.4 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +47.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
West Virginia 15th State Senate District sits in southern Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.4 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 45.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.9 points.
A population of 109,603, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,541 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 27 and State Senate District 18.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
West Virginia 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/54015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.