- Lead
- 14,338
- Total
- 117,679
- vs nation
- R+10.7
Virginia 19th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 12,714
- Total
- 113,537
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Lead
- 20,373
- Total
- 99,616
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Lead
- 19,102
- Total
- 96,600
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Lead
- 18,078
- Total
- 96,034
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Lead
- 29,664
- Total
- 85,440
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Lead
- 20,722
- Total
- 70,515
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Lead
- 13,089
- Total
- 58,501
- vs nation
- R+30.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 215,1532024 5-year
- Population density
- 503 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 428 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $120,3592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 16, SC · twin score 91.9
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 19th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
43.3%
49,201 votes · R+11.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 43.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
67.0%
57,257 votes · R+34.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 59.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
50,967votes
43.3% of the vote · R+12.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 49,201 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
65,305votes
55.5% of the vote · R+12.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 61,915 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−10.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+12.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −15.7 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+32.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +26.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 60.8%41,834 | 39.2%27,025 | 68,859 |
| 2018 | D | 58.0%42,552 | 42.0%30,858 | 73,410 |
Virginia 19th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 60.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.2 points.
A population of 215,153, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $120,359 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 16 and State Senate District 9.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 19th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.