Virginia 19th State Senate District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+64 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 505,6162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $93,9372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 19, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 129,097 | 121,193 | 254,581 | ||
| D | 131,197 | 116,445 | 253,060 | ||
| R | 102,667 | 108,571 | 225,173 | ||
| R | 106,784 | 109,159 | 219,150 | ||
| D | 108,966 | 108,811 | 219,857 | ||
| R | 77,998 | 110,807 | 190,059 | ||
| R | 68,276 | 87,363 | 159,239 | ||
| R | 57,653 | 65,762 | 133,878 | ||
| R | 48,253 | 68,924 | 141,055 | ||
| R | 37,533 | 74,585 | 112,851 | ||
| R | 29,843 | 70,227 | 100,605 | ||
| R | 30,304 | 46,142 | 82,184 | ||
| R | 31,319 | 33,252 | 67,957 | ||
| R | 7,165 | 25,992 | 34,045 | ||
| O | 12,201 | 15,823 | 44,937 | ||
| D | 9,088 | 7,337 | 16,441 | ||
| D | 6,538 | 4,939 | 11,550 | ||
| R | 5,117 | 5,216 | 10,715 | ||
| D | 4,029 | 3,856 | 7,908 | ||
| D | 2,020 | 1,159 | 3,493 | ||
| D | 2,041 | 851 | 2,896 | ||
| D | 1,859 | 420 | 2,282 | ||
| D | 1,937 | 427 | 2,375 | ||
| D | 1,441 | 551 | 2,020 | ||
| R | 684 | 1,386 | 2,069 | ||
| D | 1,489 | 432 | 2,025 | ||
| D | 1,874 | 725 | 2,629 | ||
| D | 1,640 | 596 | 2,270 | ||
| D | 1,157 | 367 | 1,753 | ||
| D | 975 | 661 | 1,637 | ||
| D | 1,362 | 860 | 2,233 | ||
| R | 2,439 | 2,654 | 5,099 | ||
| R | 2,246 | 3,256 | 5,557 | ||
| D | 2,498 | 2,248 | 4,858 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.6%
German
10.3%
Irish
10.2%
American
7.2%
Italian
5.0%
Polish
2.0%
Scottish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$93,937
State Senate District 19 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 19$93,937
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.8%
Working age (18–64)8.0%
Seniors (65+)9.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.3%
speak English only
Spanish4.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.9%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+50.4, this district ranks among the most Republican-leaning in the state, reflecting a largely rural electorate shaped by agriculture, small towns, and Appalachian geography.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 19th State Senate District has rarely exceeded sixty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $93,937 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 19, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 19, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 19, Virginia voted Democratic by 3.1 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 254,581 votes cast, 129,097 went Democratic and 121,193 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 19, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 19, Virginia as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 19, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 19, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in State Senate District 19, Virginia?
State Senate District 19, Virginia has a population of 505,616 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 19, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 19, Virginia is $93,937 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 19, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 19, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.