- Lead
- 43,879
- Total
- 90,061
- vs nation
- D+50.2
North Carolina 40th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 49,054
- Total
- 90,908
- vs nation
- D+49.5
- Lead
- 41,406
- Total
- 79,866
- vs nation
- D+49.8
- Lead
- 35,120
- Total
- 74,621
- vs nation
- D+43.2
- Lead
- 33,449
- Total
- 68,647
- vs nation
- D+41.5
- Lead
- 15,860
- Total
- 51,100
- vs nation
- D+33.5
- Lead
- 10,282
- Total
- 40,897
- vs nation
- D+24.6
- Lead
- 9,652
- Total
- 33,663
- vs nation
- D+20.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+48.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 218,8812024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,986 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 73.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,9272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 27.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 38.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+12.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 19, TN · twin score 98.1
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 40th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
91.1%
5,251 votes · D+82.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · 89.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
55.6%
8,831 votes · R+12.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 48.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
69,203votes
76.1% of the vote · D+54.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 65,672 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
21,793votes
24.2% of the vote · D+48.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,149 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+99.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+73.2 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +99.0 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1968
−0.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+0.6 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · −7.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 68.5%48,495 | 31.5%22,336 | 70,831 |
Its Democratic presidential margin was D+48.7 in 2024 and D+48.7 in 2008. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with White residents at 44.9%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 12.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.7 points.
A population of 218,881, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,927 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 19 and State Senate District 41.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 40th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.