- Lead
- 45,656
- Total
- 112,108
- vs nation
- R+39.3
North Carolina 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 43,512
- Total
- 107,347
- vs nation
- R+45.0
- Lead
- 38,280
- Total
- 94,286
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Lead
- 27,598
- Total
- 91,029
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 24,511
- Total
- 90,066
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Lead
- 28,344
- Total
- 77,420
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 22,513
- Total
- 66,951
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Lead
- 13,608
- Total
- 59,606
- vs nation
- R+31.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 209,3792024 5-year
- Population density
- 231 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 907 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,4872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 45, NC · twin score 94.9
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
69.2%
19,344 votes · D+38.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 69.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.8%
33,194 votes · R+45.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 69.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
32,669votes
29.1% of the vote · R+40.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 32,269 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78,325votes
69.9% of the vote · R+40.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74,755 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+44.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +39.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+45.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +42.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 33 recorded a 40.7-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's strongest GOP-leaning constituencies. Its population of roughly 209,000 reflects the mid-sized district scale typical of North Carolina's senate map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 45.7 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 40.7 points.
A population of 209,379, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,487 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 45 and State Senate District 44.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.