- Lead
- 22,683
- Total
- 95,997
- vs nation
- R+22.2
North Carolina 12th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 18,768
- Total
- 89,427
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Lead
- 15,252
- Total
- 72,935
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Lead
- 11,656
- Total
- 69,388
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Lead
- 9,808
- Total
- 66,202
- vs nation
- R+22.1
- Lead
- 14,480
- Total
- 53,629
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Lead
- 8,984
- Total
- 41,723
- vs nation
- R+22.1
- Lead
- 4,417
- Total
- 37,487
- vs nation
- R+20.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 200,7942024 5-year
- Population density
- 226 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 889 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,8152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 4, GA · twin score 89.7
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 12th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
77.7%
11,920 votes · D+55.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 75.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
74.5%
17,031 votes · R+50.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 64.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
36,052votes
37.6% of the vote · R+23.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 34,606 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
58,735votes
61.2% of the vote · R+23.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 53,374 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+43.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.3 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +43.2 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+27.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.3 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +25.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+23.6, against R+14.9 in 2008. About 207,000 residents lived here, with White alone at 62.4% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 50.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.6 points.
A population of 200,794, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,815 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 4 and State Senate District 25.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 12th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.