akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 4·North Carolina

North Carolina 4th State Senate District delivered R+10 in 2024.

One of North Carolina's most reliably Republican legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
NC
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
218,381
2024 ACS

North Carolina 4th State Senate District, North Carolina: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1940.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
218,3812024 5-year
Median household income
$57,9232024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
49.0%2024 5-year
Black
33.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+77 in 1940MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+47 in 1972MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.0%
45,95456,283103,235
R
−6.1%
48,79155,152105,003
R
−4.5%
45,02949,43596,899
R
−2.1%
47,95749,99598,676
R
−2.6%
46,10948,58995,156
R
−16.9%
31,94044,93877,037
D
+16.8%
37,56926,74364,566
R
−11.1%
23,57829,78956,027
R
−6.4%
23,17526,74756,189
R
−17.8%
20,07328,78148,958
R
−22.5%
21,12133,39254,614
R
−6.6%
20,45823,40544,643
D
+6.4%
20,20917,75438,193
R
−47.3%
10,24529,19440,029
O
+1.7%
11,06810,37940,961
D
+18.9%
19,73713,45533,192
D
+35.5%
18,9659,03728,002
D
+43.3%
18,3657,27125,635
D
+43.7%
18,9377,41626,352
D
+68.6%
14,8022,38818,096
D
+69.0%
15,2322,79518,028
D
+77.2%
18,1202,33720,456
D
+76.0%
17,7022,41620,117
D
+73.5%
15,0242,24217,380
D
+10.6%
8,4346,81415,248
D
+53.0%
7,1022,1359,367
D
+36.4%
9,9374,63414,571
D
+39.8%
5,7422,4698,216
D
+65.6%
4,9273017,055
D
+22.3%
4,8143,0557,880
D
+35.6%
4,3712,0686,472
D
+29.4%
7,3033,97811,327
D
+20.1%
7,1504,74811,927
D
+25.5%
5,3662,70310,461
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
12.7%
English
10.8%
Irish
6.5%
German
5.4%
Italian
1.5%
Scottish
1.3%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.3%
speak English only
Spanish11.8%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.7%
Baptist
11.2%
Methodist
7.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Non-Christian
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+27, this western or rural North Carolina district ranks among the state's most one-sided, where statewide and legislative races consistently move in lockstep.

The Democratic margin in North Carolina 4th State Senate District has rarely exceeded seventy-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 49% non-Hispanic-white share, a 19% poverty rate, and a median household income of $57,923 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 4, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 4, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 4, North Carolina voted Republican by 10.0 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 103,235 votes cast, 45,954 went Democratic and 56,283 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 4, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 4, North Carolina as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 12 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 4, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 4, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in State Senate District 4, North Carolina?
State Senate District 4, North Carolina has a population of 218,381 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 4, North Carolina?
Median household income in State Senate District 4, North Carolina is $57,923 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of State Senate District 4, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 4, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.