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Akashic

state senate district

Montana 23rd State Senate District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German29.2%22.9%12.5%

Irish13.3%13.5%9.4%

English12.8%13.1%9.5%

Norwegian9.4%7.5%—

American4.7%5.4%5.3%

Italian3.3%3.2%4.8%

Scottish2.7%2.6%1.3%

Swedish2.4%1.4%—

Mexican4.5%2.9%11.3%

Spaniard0.6%0.3%—

Spanish0.4%0.3%—

Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%

Navajo0.3%——

Blackfeet0.3%1.0%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT SD 23	Montana	United States
Median age	39.3	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	7.9%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.3%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT SD 23	Montana	United States
Median household income	$72,884	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	11.3%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	34.1%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT SD 23	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	61.2%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	38.8%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$330,100	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,134	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	43.6%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	7.8%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT SD 23	Montana	United States
Mean commute	14.5 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	1.9%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	77.3%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.6%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	10.3%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT SD 23	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.7%	4.2%	22.3%
Spanish	1.5%	1.5%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT SD 23	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT SD 23	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.2%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.7%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.5%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.8%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.478	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic48.9%4,870TrumpRepublican47.8%4,761OtherAll other candidates3.3%327

D+1.1

Lead: 109
Total: 9,958
vs nation: D+2.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic51.0%5,479TrumpRepublican45.9%4,928OtherAll other candidates3.1%328

D+5.1

Lead: 551
Total: 10,735
vs nation: D+0.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic43.2%4,187TrumpRepublican44.3%4,291OtherAll other candidates12.5%1,207

R+1.1

Lead: 104
Total: 9,685
vs nation: R+3.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic52.0%5,000RomneyRepublican44.4%4,268OtherAll other candidates3.7%354

D+7.6

Lead: 732
Total: 9,622
vs nation: D+3.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic59.2%6,091McCainRepublican37.2%3,829OtherAll other candidates3.6%373

D+22.0

Lead: 2,262
Total: 10,293
vs nation: D+14.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic50.3%4,600BushRepublican46.9%4,290OtherAll other candidates2.7%250

D+3.4

Lead: 310
Total: 9,140
vs nation: D+5.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic48.1%3,818BushRepublican45.0%3,569OtherAll other candidates6.8%543

D+3.1

Lead: 249
Total: 7,930
vs nation: D+2.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic53.4%4,396DoleRepublican33.6%2,764OtherAll other candidates13.0%1,066

D+19.8

Lead: 1,632
Total: 8,226
vs nation: D+11.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+1.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 21,7382024 5-year
Population density: 3,952 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 5.5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $72,8842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 81.9%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+69.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+18.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 2, MT · twin score 86.1

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 23rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

84.6%

137 votes · D+69.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · 75.1%

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

53.6%

739 votes · R+7.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 52.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

6,091votes

59.2% of the vote · D+22.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,479 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2020

4,928votes

45.9% of the vote · D+5.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 4,761 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+75.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+69.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +59.1 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2016

+3.2pts R vs U.S.

Place R+1.1 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −0.7 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DEmma Kerr-CarpenterState Senate · 23

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	34.8%3,584	65.2%6,705	10,289
2020	R	40.1%4,318	59.9%6,452	10,770
2018	R	44.2%3,810	55.8%4,812	8,622

With a population just under 22,000, this state senate district sits at the edge of Montana's partisan divide, making it one of the state's closest presidential-level battlegrounds in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.1 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 18.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.1 points.

A population of 21,738, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,884 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 2 and State Senate District 40.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 2

population scale% Whiteelasticity≠ median age

State Senate District 40

population scale% unaffiliatedelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry

State Senate District 10

population scale% White% Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 23rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 23rd State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 23rd State Senate District voted Democratic by 1.1 points (D+1.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 9,958 votes cast, 4,870 went Democratic and 4,761 went Republican.

When did Montana 23rd State Senate District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 23rd State Senate District voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in Montana 23rd State Senate District?

Montana 23rd State Senate District has a population of 21,738 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 23rd State Senate District?

Median household income in Montana 23rd State Senate District is $72,884 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 23rd State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 23rd State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.