HarrisDemocratic21.5%2,822TrumpRepublican76.3%10,029OtherAll other candidates2.2%285
R+54.9- Lead
- 7,207
- Total
- 13,136
- vs nation
- R+53.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Montana 1st State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic23.6%3,037TrumpRepublican74.3%9,580OtherAll other candidates2.1%270
R+50.8- Lead
- 6,543
- Total
- 12,887
- vs nation
- R+55.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic21.5%2,195TrumpRepublican72.6%7,398OtherAll other candidates5.9%600
R+51.0- Lead
- 5,203
- Total
- 10,193
- vs nation
- R+53.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic28.0%2,710RomneyRepublican69.0%6,688OtherAll other candidates3.0%288
R+41.1- Lead
- 3,978
- Total
- 9,686
- vs nation
- R+44.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.1%3,200McCainRepublican62.9%6,273OtherAll other candidates5.1%505
R+30.8- Lead
- 3,073
- Total
- 9,978
- vs nation
- R+38.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic26.8%2,456BushRepublican70.6%6,476OtherAll other candidates2.7%244
R+43.8- Lead
- 4,020
- Total
- 9,176
- vs nation
- R+41.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic20.5%1,736BushRepublican71.6%6,064OtherAll other candidates8.0%675
R+51.1- Lead
- 4,328
- Total
- 8,475
- vs nation
- R+51.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic33.7%2,827DoleRepublican46.6%3,908OtherAll other candidates19.7%1,655
R+12.9- Lead
- 1,081
- Total
- 8,390
- vs nation
- R+21.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,7102024 5-year
- Population density
- 5.2 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,140 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,8032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 43, MT · twin score 96.2
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 1st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
68.8%
2,166 votes · D+43.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 65.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
88.6%
39 votes · R+77.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 76.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
3,722votes
48.1% of the vote · R+1.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 3,225 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,029votes
76.3% of the vote · R+54.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,580 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+20.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +19.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+57.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+77.3 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +55.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMike CuffeState Senate · 1
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 43 points, this sparsely populated district in Montana ranks among the state's most one-sided in statewide contests, reflecting the rural, agriculturally rooted demographics common to northeastern Montana.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 77.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.9 points.
A population of 21,710, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,803 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 43 and State Senate District 39.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 43
Montana
96.2twin score
median ageelasticitypopulation scale
State Senate District 39
Montana
95.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ median age
State Senate District 44
Montana
94.8twin score
elasticity2012–2024 trajectory≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 1st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Montana 1st State Senate District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 1st State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 1st State Senate District voted Republican by 54.9 points (R+54.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,136 votes cast, 2,822 went Democratic and 10,029 went Republican.
When did Montana 1st State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 1st State Senate District voted Democratic was 1968.
How many people live in Montana 1st State Senate District?
Montana 1st State Senate District has a population of 21,710 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 1st State Senate District?
Median household income in Montana 1st State Senate District is $48,803 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 1st State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 1st State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.