- Lead
- 59,902
- Total
- 92,528
- vs nation
- R+63.3
Missouri 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 56,842
- Total
- 90,507
- vs nation
- R+67.3
- Lead
- 51,940
- Total
- 83,804
- vs nation
- R+64.1
- Lead
- 35,745
- Total
- 79,597
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Lead
- 27,182
- Total
- 81,302
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Lead
- 28,654
- Total
- 77,067
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Lead
- 19,419
- Total
- 64,624
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Lead
- 5,596
- Total
- 59,254
- vs nation
- R+18.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 178,5412024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5,763 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,9182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 28, MO · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
56.1%
19,822 votes · D+13.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 53.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
82.0%
75,832 votes · R+64.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
26,296votes
32.3% of the vote · R+33.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 23,881 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75,832votes
82.0% of the vote · R+64.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 73,095 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+13.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +12.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+67.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +64.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+64.7, this district ranks among the most heavily Republican in Missouri, reflecting a rural and small-town constituency where statewide Democratic candidates rarely remain competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.7 points.
A population of 178,541, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,918 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 28 and State Senate District 12.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/29033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.