- Lead
- 2,114
- Total
- 21,385
- vs nation
- R+8.4
Maine 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,283
- Total
- 20,977
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Lead
- 2,171
- Total
- 18,897
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Lead
- 158
- Total
- 17,242
- vs nation
- R+4.8
- Lead
- 586
- Total
- 17,357
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Lead
- 1,656
- Total
- 17,924
- vs nation
- R+6.8
- Lead
- 1,876
- Total
- 15,559
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Lead
- 557
- Total
- 13,535
- vs nation
- R+4.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,4602024 5-year
- Population density
- 213 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 185 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,3782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 22, ME · twin score 95.9
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.0%
4,613 votes · D+28.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 50.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
76.2%
1,396 votes · R+56.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 74.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,500votes
45.3% of the vote · R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 9,452 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,566votes
54.1% of the vote · R+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,783 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+5.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +4.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+46.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +43.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 60.3%9,432 | 39.7%6,198 | 15,630 |
Covering a largely rural stretch of the state, this district backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by 38 points — among the widest margins in Maine's upper chamber and a signal of the area's deep-rooted conservative lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.9 points.
A population of 39,460, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,378 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 22 and State Senate District 7.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/23033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.