- Lead
- 8,552
- Total
- 20,154
- vs nation
- D+43.9
Hawaii 10th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 10,980
- Total
- 23,366
- vs nation
- D+42.5
- Lead
- 8,291
- Total
- 18,212
- vs nation
- D+43.4
- Lead
- 10,441
- Total
- 19,227
- vs nation
- D+50.4
- Lead
- 11,150
- Total
- 19,936
- vs nation
- D+48.7
- Lead
- 4,047
- Total
- 17,992
- vs nation
- D+25.0
- Lead
- 5,165
- Total
- 15,879
- vs nation
- D+32.0
- Lead
- 6,213
- Total
- 16,114
- vs nation
- D+30.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+42.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 54,9302024 5-year
- Population density
- 7,525 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,2202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+7.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 11, HI · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 10th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
84.5%
8,752 votes · D+69.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 77.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
53.5%
6,370 votes · R+7.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 45.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
16,980votes
72.7% of the vote · D+47.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 15,377 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
6,905votes
38.4% of the vote · D+22.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 6,713 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+50.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.3 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +48.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
−16.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+7.0 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1992 · −18.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in urban Honolulu, this district has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, reflecting a dense, multiethnic electorate where Asian American and Native Hawaiian voters make up a substantial share of the population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 7.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.4 points.
A population of 54,930, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,220 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 11 and State Senate District 13.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Hawaii 10th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/15010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.