- Lead
- 12,745
- Total
- 35,613
- vs nation
- D+37.3
Virginia 88th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,606
- Total
- 38,516
- vs nation
- D+33.5
- Lead
- 12,496
- Total
- 37,551
- vs nation
- D+31.2
- Lead
- 15,833
- Total
- 39,747
- vs nation
- D+36.0
- Lead
- 14,651
- Total
- 40,427
- vs nation
- D+29.0
- Lead
- 6,585
- Total
- 34,455
- vs nation
- D+21.6
- Lead
- 7,384
- Total
- 30,858
- vs nation
- D+23.4
- Lead
- 9,045
- Total
- 30,833
- vs nation
- D+20.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,3372024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,878 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 30 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,2012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 51.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.4 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 87, VA · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 88th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
69.2%
27,522 votes · D+39.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 68.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
40.2%
13,834 votes · D+19.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 31.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
27,522votes
69.2% of the vote · D+39.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 27,374 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
13,834votes
40.2% of the vote · D+19.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 12,723 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+37.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+35.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +36.0 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−21.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+19.1 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −29.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+35.7, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the Virginia House of Delegates, suggesting a heavily urban or majority-minority constituency where competitive general elections are rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.4 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 23.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.8 points.
A population of 86,337, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,201 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 87 and State House District 132.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 88th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51088/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.