- Lead
- 18,863
- Total
- 44,828
- vs nation
- D+43.6
Virginia 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 21,134
- Total
- 44,279
- vs nation
- D+43.3
- Lead
- 15,708
- Total
- 38,901
- vs nation
- D+38.3
- Lead
- 9,643
- Total
- 36,855
- vs nation
- D+22.3
- Lead
- 9,668
- Total
- 35,933
- vs nation
- D+19.6
- Lead
- 4,223
- Total
- 31,879
- vs nation
- D+15.7
- Lead
- 1,288
- Total
- 28,489
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Lead
- 1,029
- Total
- 25,137
- vs nation
- R+4.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+42.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 87,0692024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,837 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 18 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $159,1292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.4 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Legislative Subdistrict 9B, MD · twin score 96.8
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
72.8%
32,251 votes · D+47.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 69.6%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
42.9%
13,683 votes · D+13.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 36.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
32,251votes
72.8% of the vote · D+47.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 31,184 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
13,683votes
42.9% of the vote · D+13.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 13,334 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+43.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +43.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−15.7pts R vs U.S.
Place D+13.2 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −19.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+42.1, this district ranks among the most heavily Democratic in Virginia, suggesting a dense urban or inner-suburban core where competitive general elections are rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 29.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.1 points.
A population of 87,069, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $159,129 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Legislative Subdistrict 9B and State House District 11.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.