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Akashic

state house district

Vermont Franklin-2 State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Irish14.8%16.8%9.4%

French14.0%8.6%1.6%

American13.6%7.0%5.3%

English13.5%19.1%9.5%

French Canadian10.0%6.2%—

German7.8%10.7%12.5%

Italian4.0%7.4%4.8%

Scottish2.8%3.0%1.3%

Mexican0.4%0.6%11.3%

Chilean0.3%——

Spaniard0.3%0.2%—

Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%

Dominican0.2%—0.7%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Median age	41.2	43.4	39.1
Age 18–24	7.0%	10.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.6%	21.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Median household income	$92,986	$81,203	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.7%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	30.2%	44.1%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Owner-occupied homes	85.4%	73.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	14.6%	26.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$368,300	$316,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,378	$1,234	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	63.3%	48.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	27.8%	19.4%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Mean commute	23.4 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	1.3%	5.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	87.8%	68.5%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	7.2%	16.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.1%	5.5%	22.3%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)	1.5%	1.2%	0.7%

Religious landscape

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Catholic	—	20.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	7.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	62.4%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.4%	4.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.4%	2.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.0%	1.5%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.5%	6.2%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.414	0.453	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic51.6%1,313TrumpRepublican45.7%1,163OtherAll other candidates2.6%67

D+5.9

Lead: 150
Total: 2,543
vs nation: D+7.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic54.8%1,352TrumpRepublican42.6%1,053OtherAll other candidates2.6%64

D+12.1

Lead: 299
Total: 2,469
vs nation: D+7.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic45.4%928TrumpRepublican41.8%854OtherAll other candidates12.9%263

D+3.6

Lead: 74
Total: 2,045
vs nation: D+1.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic60.3%1,089RomneyRepublican38.0%686OtherAll other candidates1.8%32

D+22.3

Lead: 403
Total: 1,807
vs nation: D+18.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic60.8%1,189McCainRepublican37.5%734OtherAll other candidates1.6%32

D+23.3

Lead: 455
Total: 1,955
vs nation: D+16.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic51.3%875BushRepublican46.9%800OtherAll other candidates1.9%32

D+4.4

Lead: 75
Total: 1,707
vs nation: D+6.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic47.9%782BushRepublican46.0%751OtherAll other candidates6.1%99

D+1.9

Lead: 31
Total: 1,632
vs nation: D+1.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic53.1%725DoleRepublican30.3%413OtherAll other candidates16.6%227

D+22.9

Lead: 312
Total: 1,365
vs nation: D+14.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+5.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 4,6122024 5-year
Population density: 134 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 34.5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $92,9862024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.4%2024 5-year
Black: 1.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+42.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+52.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Franklin-6 State House District, VT · twin score 99.4

presidential history

Party record book

Vermont Franklin-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

71.4%

725 votes · D+42.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 60.8%

Republican

William McKinley1896

75.6%

303 votes · R+52.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 75.4%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

1,352votes

54.8% of the vote · D+12.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,313 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,163votes

45.7% of the vote · D+5.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,053 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

+20.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+42.8 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +18.4 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+46.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+52.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +36.3 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RLynn DickinsonState House · Franklin-2

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	53.0%1,112	47.0%986	2,098
2020	D	61.7%1,350	38.3%838	2,188
2018	D	63.9%1,006	36.1%569	1,575

Franklin-2 covers a lightly populated stretch of northwestern Vermont, where the 2020 presidential margin landed at D+12.1 — competitive enough that candidate quality and local organizing can meaningfully shift outcomes.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.9 points.

A population of 4,612, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,986 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin-6 State House District and Franklin-4 State House District.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Franklin-6 State House District

population scale12-yr trendelasticity

Franklin-4 State House District

12-yr trendelasticity2008–2012 trajectory

Franklin-1 State House District

12-yr trendelasticity2008–2012 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Vermont Franklin-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50F-2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Vermont Franklin-2 State House District

counties it covers1

Franklin County

Frequently asked questions

How did Vermont Franklin-2 State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Vermont Franklin-2 State House District voted Democratic by 5.9 points (D+5.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,543 votes cast, 1,313 went Democratic and 1,163 went Republican.

When did Vermont Franklin-2 State House District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Franklin-2 State House District voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Vermont Franklin-2 State House District?

Vermont Franklin-2 State House District has a population of 4,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Vermont Franklin-2 State House District?

Median household income in Vermont Franklin-2 State House District is $92,986 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.

What is the political history of Vermont Franklin-2 State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Franklin-2 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.