HarrisDemocratic44.1%1,967TrumpRepublican52.1%2,321OtherAll other candidates3.8%170
R+7.9- Lead
- 354
- Total
- 4,458
- vs nation
- R+6.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Franklin-4 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic47.1%2,010TrumpRepublican49.0%2,092OtherAll other candidates3.9%165
R+1.9- Lead
- 82
- Total
- 4,267
- vs nation
- R+6.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic40.3%1,412TrumpRepublican45.0%1,578OtherAll other candidates14.6%513
R+4.7- Lead
- 166
- Total
- 3,503
- vs nation
- R+6.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic58.1%1,877RomneyRepublican40.1%1,295OtherAll other candidates1.8%59
D+18.0- Lead
- 582
- Total
- 3,231
- vs nation
- D+14.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic58.7%2,050McCainRepublican39.6%1,383OtherAll other candidates1.7%59
D+19.1- Lead
- 667
- Total
- 3,492
- vs nation
- D+11.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic51.6%1,688BushRepublican46.7%1,528OtherAll other candidates1.7%54
D+4.9- Lead
- 160
- Total
- 3,270
- vs nation
- D+7.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic48.3%1,521BushRepublican45.8%1,440OtherAll other candidates5.9%186
D+2.6- Lead
- 81
- Total
- 3,147
- vs nation
- D+2.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic53.9%1,398DoleRepublican30.6%794OtherAll other candidates15.5%402
D+23.3- Lead
- 604
- Total
- 2,594
- vs nation
- D+14.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,8372024 5-year
- Population density
- 102 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 86.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,0402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin-5 State House District, VT · twin score 99.2
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Franklin-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.5%
1,398 votes · D+42.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
72.1%
426 votes · R+48.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 71.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,050votes
58.7% of the vote · D+19.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,010 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,321votes
52.1% of the vote · R+7.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,092 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+20.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.9 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +14.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+43.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +33.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMatt WalkerState House · Franklin-4
RTom OliverState House · Franklin-4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Franklin-4 covers a sparsely populated slice of Vermont's agricultural northwest, where the 2024 presidential contest landed nearly 10 points to the right — a sharper tilt than the state as a whole.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.9 points.
A population of 8,837, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,040 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin-5 State House District and Franklin-6 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Franklin-5 State House District
Vermont
99.2twin score
12-yr trendelasticitypopulation scale
Franklin-6 State House District
Vermont
98.7twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2008–2012 trajectory
Franklin-2 State House District
Vermont
98.5twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2008–2012 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Franklin-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50F-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Franklin-4 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Franklin-4 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Franklin-4 State House District voted Republican by 7.9 points (R+7.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,458 votes cast, 1,967 went Democratic and 2,321 went Republican.
When did Vermont Franklin-4 State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Franklin-4 State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Vermont Franklin-4 State House District?
Vermont Franklin-4 State House District has a population of 8,837 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Franklin-4 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Franklin-4 State House District is $80,040 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Franklin-4 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Franklin-4 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.