- Lead
- 803
- Total
- 4,336
- vs nation
- R+17.0
Vermont Franklin-5 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 526
- Total
- 4,110
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Lead
- 452
- Total
- 3,432
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Lead
- 345
- Total
- 3,245
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 416
- Total
- 3,496
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Lead
- 6
- Total
- 3,415
- vs nation
- D+2.6
- Lead
- 63
- Total
- 3,355
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 535
- Total
- 2,795
- vs nation
- D+10.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,7282024 5-year
- Population density
- 50 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 174 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,8342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin-4 State House District, VT · twin score 99.2
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Franklin-5 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.3%
1,418 votes · D+38.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 54.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
72.0%
653 votes · R+51.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,915votes
54.8% of the vote · D+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 1,754 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,501votes
57.7% of the vote · R+18.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,251 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+16.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +10.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+45.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +37.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Franklin-5 covers sparsely populated agricultural terrain near the Quebec border, where the 2024 presidential margin ran more than 20 points Republican — a striking gap in a state that leans Democratic at the statewide level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.5 points.
A population of 8,728, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,834 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin-4 State House District and Franklin-8 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Franklin-5 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50F-5/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.